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Division foes collide in Houston on Monday Night Football
Monday, November 23, 2009 09:21 AM ET
Vince Young has brought the Titans back from their 0-6 start with three straight wins as Tennessee travels to Houston to meet the Texans for a Monday night battle.
Two weeks after the Texans suffered a hard-fought, 20-17 defeat in Indianapolis, their run defense will be put to the test by league rushing leader Chris Johnson who had a career day in Tennessee’s Week 2 home loss to Houston with 284 total yards and three touchdowns.
Johnson, who rushed for 197 yards and two scores plus caught a 69-yard touchdown pass from Kerry Collins that day, had the spotlight stolen from him in Week 2 by Matt Schaub (357 yards, four touchdown passes) as Houston won for just the second time in eight tries in Nashville.
The 5-4 Texans have had 15 days to ponder their heartbreaking loss at Indy, as Kris Brown’s last second potential game-tying 42-yard field goal attempt sailed wide left. And now they prepare for the franchise's first true run toward the postseason. How Houston (5-3-1 ATS) comes out on Monday night vs. Tennessee will say a lot about how much they’ve grown. They have won two straight against Tennessee, but only by a combined four points. At home, they are just 1-3 SU and ATS in the last four meetings and 4-10 ATS against a team who won last game by 14 or more points.
The Titans (3-6, 4-5 ATS) have opened a Pandora’s Box of questions in winning three in a row after losing their first six games of the season. Should Tennessee and Head Coach Jeff Fisher be praised for turning the season around or chastised for the protracted losing to begin the year? Fisher, who didn’t appear to be any fan of Vince Young, was left with little choice but to play the former Texas star after a humbling 59-0 pasting by New England in Week 6.
Young has brought energy to the offense in his three starts and been efficient (44-for-62, 507 yards, two touchdowns, one interception) in leading his squad to a trio of wins and covers.
Fisher’s club is just 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six AFC South contests; however the Titans are 12-3 ATS in road games after three or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Sportsbook.com has Houston as four-point favorites with a total of 48 and Schaub assuredly will attack the Titans 31st-ranked pass defense from the start. The Texans are 13-4 ATS when they gain eight or more net passing yards per attempt and are 12-3 'over' versus division opponents over the last three seasons.
Tennessee’s running game keys their offense and the Titans are 16-6 ATS after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in two straight games. Tonight’s visitors are 10-2 'under' on the road revenging a close loss by seven points or less.
Tennessee covers if they run the ball effectively against Houston’s 14th-ranked run defense. The Texans are not known for gap control, which is a real plus for Johnson who can pop into the secondary in a heartbeat. Last week Buffalo made life tough on the Titans by playing eight men in the box and press coverage on their unimpressive receivers before self-destructing.
With Houston having two weeks to prepare, Tennessee will see more of the same which means taking shots down the field. Young’s arm is more than strong enough; he just needs the pass catchers to make a few plays. After a mediocre start, the Titans' pass rush is coming along and they will need to pressure Schaub. Monday night road teams with only one appearance on the season are 34-17-2 ATS, including 5-2 ATS in 2009.

Houston covers if they create a semblance of a running game with zone-blocking scheme. Granted, the Texans are 28th rushing the pigskin, but Tennessee is nothing special stopping the run (16th) and is vulnerable against teams that run and pass the ball effectively. This helps Schaub, whose been forced to throw the ball too often, which has led to nine picks.
Just keeping the Titans honest on defense allows Houston to play to their strength, the passing game, which is the best way to move the ball against them. Though Young has shown greater maturity and better decision-making, a steady pass rush that doesn’t allow him to leave the pocket makes a below average passer even worse. Home teams own a record of 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in Texans post-bye week games since 2003.
Monday Night System – Same as last week’s, play against home team off a bye hosting a division foe (12-2 ATS the last 16 years, 2-0 this season).