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MLB - St. Louis Cardinals -130 behind Pineiro at Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals -130 behind Pineiro at Cincinnati Reds
Game Time: Friday, July 3, 2009 12:00 AM ET
Joel Pineiro should get plenty of run support from the Cardinals hitters tonight with St. Louis travels to take on Homer Bailey and the Cincinnati Reds.
Tonight Joel Pineiro and the St. Louis Cardinals face the ever improving Cincinnati Reds and Homer Bailey at the Great American Ball Park.
In two starts this season Bailey is showing major control issues with a 5/13 strikeout/walk ratio along with a high 8.68 ERA. Pitching at the Great American Ball Park hasn't been kind to Bailey who gave up six earned runs in just 4.1 innings against Cleveland in his lone home start this year, pretty much picking up from last season's struggles here in the Queen City.
In his two career starts against the Cards he has yet to make it past the fourth inning. Bailey has been annihilated by St. Louis batters allowing 12 earned runs with four strikeouts and eight walks.
Pineiro has been amazing with a 1.59 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP in his last three starts. He has been solid all year with a 3.44 ERA but has fallen victim to lack of run support which is the reason for the 6-9 record. Tonight, given the fact of the struggling opposing pitcher on the hill, we don't see that happening. Pinerio has been good giving up just 10 earned runs in four career starts in Cincy. The Reds are batting just .240 on the season vs. righthanders and we don't seem them getting much off of Pinerio tonight.
Bailey hasn't won a start at the Great American Ball Park since September 2007 and the Reds are 1-9 in his last 10 starts overall. Oddsmakers are a little generous with this "soft" moneyline and we think it should be more in the -150 to -160 range. We'll grab the value and expect the Cardinals bats to wake up tonight.
Free Pick: Cardinals -130