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NCAAF - Arkansas Razorbacks -11 to win big at home over Mississippi State
Arkansas Razorbacks -11 to win big at home over Mississippi State
Game Time: Saturday, November 21, 2009 12:20 PM ET
The Arkansas offense has been in high gear, especially at home, and Ryan Mallett may be having the best year of any SEC quarterback. Take Arkansas to rout 4-6 Mississippi State.
The Arkansas Raxorbacks become bowl eligible last week with a 56-20 non-conference blowout over Troy in a potential letdown spot, and they now look to improve on their 2-4 SEC mark vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
The Razorbacks are 5-1 at home, where they have posted their two conference wins in blowout fashion, crushing Auburn by 21 points and South Carolina by 17, and we are looking for a similar result here vs. a 4-6 Mississippi State team that is allowing 27.2 points per game vs. FBS opponents.
This is good news for Arkansas quarterback Ryan Mallett,, who is arguable having the best season of any quarterback in the SEC including Tim Tebow this year. Mallet has thrown for 2882 yards on an excellent 9.80 yards per pass attempt, with 23 touchdown passes vs. just four interceptions. The Hogs have scored at least 33 points in all six home games with Mallett under center, including scoring over 40 points in five of them and averaging 50.7 points the last three.
The Bulldogs are averaging 24.5 points per game overall and 17.7 points in their last three games, and they do not figure to have any answers for the Arkansas onslaught. Granted, the Razorbacks defense has struggled against the pass, but Mississippi State is a run oriented team that actually averages significantly more rushing yards per game (208.7) than passing yards (158.8), and their quarterbacks have tossed 16 interceptions against just seven touchdowns.
Thus, MSU is ill equipped to take advantage of the biggest weakness of the Arkansas defense, and with the Hogs respectably allowing 3.8 yards per rush, look for the Razorbacks to make enough defensive stops to record another big win by at least two touchdowns.
Free Pick: Arkansas -11 (-110)