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NCAAF - Baylor Bears +5½ to upset Texas A&M Aggies on the road
Baylor Bears +5½ to upset Texas A&M Aggies on the road
Game Time: Saturday, November 21, 2009 03:30 PM ET
Texas A&M has been playing dreadful defense lately, allowing a horrible 40.4 points per game over the last five games with most of those not vs. offensive juggernauts. Take the points.
The Texas A&M Aggies have been horrible on defense this year, as they are allowing 428 total yards per game, and even a Baylor team without Robert Griffin is capable of moving the ball all over this Aggies defense and keeping pace with them.
In their last five games they are giving up an average of 40.4 points per game. That includes three games against Kansas State, Colorado, and Iowa State who are all far from offensive juggernauts.
Nick Florence is a quarterback that is showing promise. He took over the job for the struggling Blake Szymanski who couldn't get this offense going after Robert Griffin was hurt. Florence is completing over 61% of his passes and is averaging 281 yards per game through the air in his four starts. Florence scorched Missouri in an upset for over 400 yards and he is capable of doing the same against Texas A&M today.
Baylor doesn't run the ball well but even against this weak A&M front seven they should have one of their best running games of the season. On the other side of the ball the Bayor defense will have their hands full with A&M QB Jerrod Johnson and the two-headed running game with Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael.
The Baylor defense isn't the Nebraska group by any means but they have forced 15 turnovers and use a bend but don't break mentality in the red zone. They've allowed teams to score touchdowns 55% of their trips inside the 20 which isn't that bad if you really look at it. They have the better defense between these two teams and there is no doubt about that.
Nick Florence can heat up in this game like he did against Mizzou and play spoiler here against the worst defense in the Big 12. Back Baylor in College Station to try to keep Texas A&M from gaining a bowl berth and take this one down to the closing minutes.
Free Pick: Baylor +5½ (-110)