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NC State Wolfpack +4 to howl vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Game Time: 11/15/2008 03:30 PM ET
LT Profits Sports Group

NC State has been one of the more pesky 3-6 teams, as they are on a 6-1 ATS run and are capable up putting up big numbers at home. They are a live home dog.

Both of these teams have very deceptive records, as the North Carolina State olfpack have been very competitive despite being just 3-6 straight up, while the Wake Forest Demon Deacons have actually underachieved while going 6-3.

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Case in point is that NC State is currently on a 4-0 run against the spread, and they are 6-1 ATS in their seven lined games since an opening week loss at South Carolina.

The Wolfpack are coming off of a nice 27-17 outright road upset of Duke, and they are averaging a nice 24.4 points and 313.0 total yards per game at home. Comparatively, Wake Forest is averaging just 15.8 points and 280.8 total yards on the road.

Now granted, NC State has a one dimensional passing offense, but that may actually not be a negative in this case. That is because the Demon Deacons are allowing only 3.5 yards per rushing attempt, so the best way to attack this defense is by throwing the ball and making big plays.

If the Wolfpack are successful, Wake Forest has been a major disappointment offensively and we feel they would be unable to match NC State if this turns into somewhat of a shootout. In fact, the Deacons have yet to score more then  12 points in their three conference road games.

Because of this lack of offense, Wake Forest is just 4-5 ATs despite their winning record, and we are looking for them to lose outright here, although getting more than a field goal with NC State is nice insurance.

Free Pick: NC State +4 (-110)

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