Don't look now, but Boise State is currently ranked third in the land in total defense, and they have been equally great vs. the run and the pass. Thus, the Under is 3-1 in all BSU games, and they are facing a Nevada team that just lost starting QB Nick Graziano for the season. Expect more running from Nevada, so go Under again.
[articleBanner]who2beton[/articleBanner]This is the second consecutive Sunday night game for the Boise State Broncos, who managed to stay Under in a 58-0 pasting of the New Mexico State Aggies last week, and we expect a similar scenario vs. the Nevada Wolfpack here.
Now, if we take a peak at the best defenses in the country this year, it is really no surprise that LSU and Ohio State are ranked first and second respectively in total defense. What most people do not realize, however, is that this Boise State defense is ranked third!
You heard that correctly, the Broncos are surrendering just 231.2 yards per game overall, and they have been even better here at home. Boise State is allowing an anemic 203.5 total yards per contest on the blue turf, permitting a microscopic 1.8 yards per rush and 4.4 yards per pass. Thus, the Under is 3-1 in all BSU games this season despite the fast that the offense is averaging 37.2 yards per game. The average combined total score of all Boise home games has been 53.2 points per encounter, which is about eight points less than this posted total.
Granted, Nevada is averaging 32.2 points per game, but they have only faced one quality defense to this point, that being the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Moreover, the Wolfpack scored a season-low 10 points vs. the Huskers, meaning that they accumulated their gaudy numbers vs. Nicholls State, Northwestern, UNLV and Fresno State, hardly a Who’s Who of the nation’s elite!
Finally, Nevada starting quarterback Nick Graziano is now out for the season, which means that the Pack will rely more heavily on their running game, thus taking more time off of the clock.
Free Pick: Nevada, Boise State Under 61½