This opener for Nebraska is one they will
dominate from start to finish and is a complete mismatch both on the field and in the NCAAF odds.
The real question is do they have enough fire power from the
second and third units to score 45 or more points and cover the spread
presuming that Western Kentucky can get a pair of field goals? Several of the
major books are reluctant to line this game, but The Greek
has offered a college football line of Nebraska by 38 points with a posted total of 51 1/2 is offered at The Greek.
Eighth- ranked Nebraska begins their final season in the Big-12
before moving the Big-10 next season. This is the highest ranking the
Cornhuskers have attained since 2003 and are the favorites to win the Big-12
North Division. The major goal, however is win their sixth national
championship and the first since 1997.
Win totals are listed at 7 1/2
'over' -300 consistently at the major sportsbooks. Even laying 3/1 odds to
play the 'over' seems a near certainty for this Cornhusker team.
has adjusted the NCAAF betting total to a more realistic 10 wins and getting +130 to play the
Consider a tandem wager playing same unit amounts on the tow different football betting lines knowing that you are essentially at a minimum break even result as long
as Nebraska wins eight games.
Just three season ago, the Nebraska defense was ranked one of the
worst in the nation under Bill Callahan. Since coach Bo Pelini too over the
helm, the Cornhuskers have produced a 20-8 record and shared the North Division
title in each of his first two seasons. Moreover, they are coming off a season
where they ranked first nationally in points allowed. They did lose Heisman
Trophy finalist Ndamulong Su to the NFL, but still return seven starters from
last year's unit. This defense may be even better than last year's edition and
begs the question of whether Western Kentucky can even get the ball into
Keep in mind, though that there is no reason for Nebraska to run
the score up by leaving the starters in the game. There is a strong likelihood
that they will take the starters out after getting ahead by say 24 to 28 points
knowing they need them rested for the heavy conference schedule. All of their
conference foes will want to deliver them a loss even more with Nebraska's
betrayal to the Big-10. Although this game is difficult to handicap it appears
more of a play on Nebraska and the 'under'.
The possible Nebraska and 'under' result is supported by two
systems. The first supports Nebraska and has posted a 36-10 ATS record for
78.3% winners since 2000. Play
against any team in the first two weeks of the season after closing out the
last season with five or more straight losses and with an experienced QB
returning as starter.
The second system supports the 'under' 51 1/2 play and
has produced a record of 35-10 for 77.8% winners since 2000. Play 'under' with
home teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 in the first month of the
season and after closing out last season with four or more wins in the last
five games and with an experienced QB returning as starter.
is reasonable to see Nebraska gaining more than 500 yards of offense in a
balanced attack against Western Kentucky. In past games where Nebraska gained
more than 500 yards they are 39-9 ATS since 1992.