Our NCAAF
Handicappers have been hard at work analyzing the value and the plays to give
you all you need to wager on Saturday. Good Luck!
As always we first
up have Mr John Ryan and his technical betting system
Through seven weeks that he has released his College Football
5-pack of 5* Locks, he has produced a
23-12 ATS record for 66% winners. These are plays he strongly believes will
win ATS based on extensive research and 17-years of experience. he releases
plays ranging from 3* Free Picks to Top Rated 25* Games of the Year. Between
these extremes are 5* Monster plays, 7* Titans, 10* Titans, and 15* Games of
the Week. These are 5* Monster Locks plays and may include optional money line
plays too.
Here’s to another winning set of five 5* Lock plays.
(10) Oklahoma State (9-1,
5-1 Big 12) at Kansas (3-7, 1-5 Big 12)
Saturday, November 20, 12:00 EST
Oklahoma State ended a 12-year losing streak by defeating the
Texas Longhorns 33-16. They control their own destiny to represent the Big 12
South division in the Big 12 Championship game with the winner getting a BCS
bowl bid. However, the highly emotional win at Texas combined with the look
ahead game against Oklahoma next week means that Kansas is getting far too many
points. Here is a supporting system that has gone 71-34 ATS for 68% winners
since 2005. Play against a road team after three or more consecutive wins
against the spread in weeks 10 through 13. Take
Kansas
Tennessee (4-6, 1-5 SEC)
at Vanderbilt (2-8, 1-6 SEC)
Saturday, November 20, 7:30 EST Start
I like Tennessee in this game and look for them to win by more
than 14 points based on my simulator projections. Both teams have had
disappointing seasons, but the Volunteers are by far the more talented and
skilled team in this matchup.Supporting this play on Tennessee is a solid
system that has produced a 29-4 ATS record for 88% winners since 2000 and is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. Play
against a home team after allowing 37 points or more last game and now facing
an opponent after two straight wins by 28 or more points. Tennessee destroyed
Mississippi last Saturday by a 52-14 score and were installed as 2 point
favorites. The week prior was another big win defeating Memphis 50-14 installed
as 20 1/2 point favorites. Vanderbilt is coming off a 38-20 loss at Kentucky
and failed to cover as 16 1/2 point dogs. Tennessee
is the right play.
Connecticut (5-4, 2-2 Big
East) at Syracuse (7-3, 4-2 Big East)
Saturday, November 20, 7:00 ET Start
Connecticut has a very real opportunity to win this game and send
Syracuse a crushing blow to their Big East Title hopes. This conference is
truly up for grabs and Connecticut is not anywhere close to being eliminated
since they defeated front runner Pittsburgh. Connecticut is a perfect 7-0 ATS
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last two seasons.
Penn State (6-4, 3-3 Big
Ten) at Indiana (4-6), 0-6 Big Ten)
Saturday, November 20, 12 PM ET Start
Penn State defense is depleted in a big way and Ohio State wore
them down in the second half after trailing them 14-3 at the half. Granted,
Hoosiers are not nearly as dominant as the Buckeyes, but they do have the16th
best passing attack in the nation gaining 287.4 yards per game. Penn State is
9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after covering the spread in three out of their last
four games since 1992. Take the
Hoosiers.
Florida State (7-3, 5-2
ACC) at Maryland (7-3, 4-2 ACC)
Saturday, November 20, 8:00 EST Start
Like FSU quite a bit in this ACC showdown. Seminoles are
reinforced by this system that has produced a 54-27 ATS mark for 67% winners
since 2005. Play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are quick starting
offensive teams scoring 16+ PPG in the first half and after allowing 14 points
or less last game. FSU has stumbled going just 2-2 and losing all four games
ATS. However, they are 30-13 ATS after two or more consecutive losses against
the spread since 1992.
College Football Picks
Our resident
Handicapper, Mr Dave Lawrence, provides us with his picks for Saturdays College
Football games.
Florida State
Seminoles @ Maryland Terrapins
The Maryland Terrapins have a shot to win the ACC but
they have to win their final two games of the season, which includes Saturday’s
matchup against the Florida State Seminoles. The problem with Maryland this
year is that they haven’t been able to beat elite teams, but have taken care of
business against weaker foes.
This won’t be as easy for Florida State as the common
bettor thinks, but with the line dropping to 3.5, the ‘Noles don’t have to do
too much to cover. Bet them to cover the spread this week.
Pick: Florida
State -3.5, Florida State -175, Over 52.5
Wisconsin Badgers
@ Michigan Wolverines
The Wisconsin Badgers are a big, bruising team who just
likes to line up and run it down your throat. But Michigan runs a spread
offense with a lot of explosive playmakers – most notably, quarterback Denard
Robinson.
The Badgers have had some problems in recent seasons with
teams who present a lot of speed on the perimeter (see: Arizona State) so this
game might be closer than expected. Take the Wolverines to pull a surprise in
this one.
Pick: Michigan +4,
Michigan +158, Over 68
Ohio State
Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes
The Iowa Hawkeyes might be a little sour coming into this
matchup. They still felt like they had a shot at the Big Ten title last week
and they even had a 10-point fourth quarter lead against Northwestern, but they
blew it and now find themselves with three losses. It’s tough to bet on a team
that now knows they don’t have much to play for.
On top of that, the Buckeyes own this series and have
been playing exceptionally over the last three weeks, winning all three games
by a combined score of 139-24.
This is a bet on the Buckeyes and a bet against the
Hawkeyes.
Pick: Buckeyes -3,
Buckeyes -146, Over 48.5
Arkansas
Razorbacks @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Arkansas Razorbacks have played fairly well this
season, save two losses to Auburn and Alabama, and they have handled everyone
else rather easily.
Mississippi State is clearly a program that is pulling
itself out of the basement in the SEC and a win over Arkansas would do wonders.
But the talent differential is still big between these two squads and home
field advantage isn’t enough to make up for it.
Pick: Arkansas -3,
Arkansas -142, Over 53
North Carolina
State Wolfpack @ North Carolina Tar Heels
The Wolfpack still have an ACC Championship in mind but
they need some help from Maryland this week. More importantly, they have to
take care of business against their rivals, North Carolina.
The Tar Heels are a tough, rugged team to face – maybe
the opposite of the Wolfpack. While the Wolfpack have the better weapons, this
will be back alley brawl and the Tar Heels are more adept to that style.
Pick: North
Carolina -2.5, North Carolina -133, Over 52.5
Stanford Cardinal
@ California Golden Bears
It’s a rivalry, it’s a matchup that conjures up plenty of
memories, but there is still a significant talent differential. Most notably,
the Cardinal are using a quarterback, Andrew Luck, who will be among the most
sought-after prospects when he declares for the NFL Draft. Meanwhile, the
Golden Bears still have the training wheels on Brock Mansion, who has been
thrown into the fire with veteran Kevin Riley out for the season. That
difference alone is enough reason to bet Stanford in this one.
Pick: Stanford -6.5,
Stanford -239, Under 50