College football picks for Georgia Tech at Miami (FL)

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Al Golden insists he's on board at The U for the long haul.  The short term certainly hasn't been too rosy for the Hurricanes' first year head coach who announced yet another suspension from his team that is preparing for a big ACC clash with the Yellow Jackets.


Golden lost a dozen players to suspension earlier this year after the Nevin Shapiro scandal rocked the Miami program, and more NCAA penalties loom.  Now the 'Canes will be without senior defensive lineman Micanor Regis for a game after Regis was caught delivering a low blow to a Tar Heels player in last week's 30-24 victory at North Carolina. 

Al GoldenThe suspension could be key for a Miami defense that is about to go up against the nation's second-ranked rushing offense.  Regis had 25 tackles while starting all six games for the Hurricanes, including a sack. 

Despite the most recent suspension, despite the Hurricanes struggling with inconsistent play all season, despite the Yellow Jackets sitting 22nd in the initial BCS rankings, Miami is a 3-point favorite on the college football betting board.  Saturday's total is stuck on 62 points

Misfiring Miami offense

Miami's win and cover at the Heels (-1.5) left the 'Canes 3-3 straight up and against the spread on the campaign.  The team has alternated wins and losses since its season opener, a 32-24 defeat at Maryland

The good news last week was senior QB Jacory Harris and the 'Canes offense that jumped out to a 27-3 lead 10 minutes into the second quarter.  The bad news was there wasn't much offense from that point on. 

That was pretty much the same story a week earlier in a 38-35 loss at Virginia Tech (-7.5), only this time it was the second half when Harris and the offense had things clicking.  The Hurricanes almost pulled that one off before succumbing to the Hokies in the final minute. 

Johnson and Tech

Miami will need to get a complete game from the unit against a Georgia Tech squad that is 10th in the country in scoring (42.9 PPG).  Paul Johnson's Rambling Wreck has been slowed a bit the past two weeks, and getting his guys back on track is just one of two tough tasks going into Miami this Saturday. 

Johnson and Tech (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) got a taste of their own medicine in last week's upset loss at Virginia.  A touchdown favorite on the road, the Yellow Jackets fell 24-21 when they could not stop the Cavaliers' running game.  Both teams finished with 272 yards rushing, nearly 100 less than what Georgia Tech has averaged per game, and about 100 more than what Virginia averaged entering the game. 

It marked the second straight spread defeat for the Jackets, and second consecutive UNDER following four OVERS to begin the season. 

Looking to the future?

Johnson will also have to keep his guys from looking past this game.  Last week's loss might help get the team's focus back on "one game at a time," but it's going to be difficult for Techsters not to be thinking about home tilts against Clemson and Virginia Tech on deck after this contest. 

Whereas Miami relies on Lamar Miller as its primary runner, the Yellow Jackets' ground game is a true team effort.  Three players (Orwin Smith, David Sims and Tevin Washington) have over 400 yards rushing; getting Smith more touches in this game will be a necessity. 

The game features two of the nation's top linebackers, Miami's Sean Spence and Tech's Julian Burnett, and both figure to be active Saturday.  Spence is averaging 11 tackles (solo and assisted) in the Hurricanes' five games against FBS opponents.  Burnett leads the Yellow Jackets with 34 solo tackles. 

Taking a Chance: Golden has an incredibly difficult job ahead at The U.  But it's Johnson who has the toughest task this week trying to get his team up off the mat from its first loss to go play a 'Canes team that is still talented despite the suspensions and scandals.  Miami -3 and UNDER 62 for my college football picks.


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