How about a top ten extravaganza to open up the college football season this weekend? Get ready for to see your National Champion Alabama Crimson Tide take on the Michigan Wolverines at Cowboys Stadium.
College Football Pick: Betting the Spread
By: Steven Suarez -
So we've given our college football picks on both the betting spread and the
total. The Crimson Tide, despite being favored by two touchdowns at some books,
are the side we're taking.
We're liking the OVER for the total as we expect Denard
Robinson to make at least a couple of big-time plays for Michigan at Cowboys
Alabama should make some strides offensively as well,
despite losing Trent Richardson to the NFL, considering they have a healthy
number of effective running backs waiting in the wings. Quarterback A.J.
McCarron has already led his team to a national championship and he should be
full of confidence now after such a successful year.
One piece of important news to come out during the week has
been the uncertain status of Michigan's starting running back, Fitzgerald
Toussaint. Well, it was just announced that Toussaint will be suspended for the
game against the Crimson Tide, which is obviously a blow to the Wolverines'
Toussaint finished with 1,041 yards on 187 carries last
season and recorded nine rushing touchdowns as well.
What this means is Robinson is going to have to shoulder an
even bigger load on offense.
How Michigan's star quarterback fares will be the headlining
story of Saturday's game. He has the tools to really do some damage against
Alabama's lightning quick defense.
That said, you don't often see a lot of big plays made
against the Crimson Tide and ultimately the superior depth, experience and
athleticism should lead to a victory for Alabama in this fantastic top ten
matchup to start off the season.
What's the right side in your opinion? Head on over to
our college football handicapping forums and give us your thoughts and
predictions on what to expect for this matchup and the rest of the weekend's
College Football Pick: Betting the Total
By: Steven Suarez -
We've already broken down our spread betting pick for this
top ten showdown, and in the end we believe the Crimson Tide to be the right
But what about the total? Sportsbooks locked down an opening
number of 45 and the line hasn't shifted much at all, with current numbers
showing 45.5 at most college football betting sites.
Michigan had seven of its twelve games go UNDER the total
last season, while Alabamawas a dead split at six and six.
The Wolverines' bread and butter offensively was their
rushing attack as they averaged 221.8 yards per game, thanks in large part to
Denard Robinson's scrambling ability. He had a team-high 1163 yards and 16
rushing touchdowns, while Fitzgerald Toussaint also broke the 1,000 yard
barrier, averaging 5.8 YPC in 2011/12.
Defensively, Michigan was excellent. Brady Hoke's team
ranked sixth in all of college football in points allowed (17.4). Guess who was
That's right, the Crimson Tide had the country's best defense
last year and, although they lost a number of starters to the NFL, this unit
shouldn't drop a beat in terms of athleticism and overall talent.
Alabama's offense revolved around Trent Richardson but
obviously that won't be the case this time around. A.J. McCarron should be
given a lot more freedom now that he's got another year under his belt and that
could mean much more balanced gameplans this season.
Alabama's defense is no joke, but if Michigan's dual-threat
quarterback can play to his full potential and keep the Wolverines' offense on
the field, this one should wind up going OVER the posted total. And, while the Crimson Tide remain an elite defensive team,
they do have to deal with one of the most dangerous players in the nation this
weekend. Robinson is pretty special and should be able to use his legs to make
some big plays.
Opening NCAAF Odds
By: Steven Suarez -
What a start to the season it should be as a couple top ten
programs meet up in one of the largest stadiums in the country.
The college football odds, however, are squarely in
Alabama's favor. The defending national champions opened as 11.5-point
favorites a while back and the number has gradually risen to 12.5 and even 13
at various sportsbooks.
With Alabama set to be popular sports pick this
weekend, there's a good possibility of that spread rising even more ahead of
kickoff on Saturday.
That said, the total for the game has stayed still, opening
at 45 and staying right there.
Can Denard Robinson lead Michigan to a miracle victory in
the first week of the season?
He's going to have to be special. Robinson has lost his two
top receivers from last season and, although he's a dangerous runner too, the
Crimson Tide most definitely have the athleticism on the defensive side of the
ball to keep him relatively in check.
Nick Saban and Alabama have had plenty of experience dealing
with mobile quarterbacks (LSU's Jordan Jefferson and Auburn's Kiehl Frazier to
name a couple). Even though Robinson is more talented, the Crimson Tide should
Also, there are still questions about Fitz Toussaint and
whether he will be allowed to play this weekend. The Wolverines could really
use him in the backfield against what will be one of the best defenses in the
2011/12 was a special season for Michigan and their 11-2
final record announced to the country that they were back. A win against the
national champs would be huge, but is it within reach?
Let's see what Saban and the Alabama Crimson Tide can do as a
follow-up act after crushing LSU in the BCS Championship Game last year to
finish as national champions.
A.J. McCarron is back for his junior season and should do
even better now that he's got another year under his belt. His confidence will
be through the roof now that he's already won the big game.
You can't talk about Alabama without mentioning that
offensive line and man is it a special unit. With tremendous size and
experience, the Crimson Tide will boast one of the best lines that college
football has ever seen.
That should make life much easier for the multiple running
backs that will step in to try and fill the shoes of departed NFL back Trent
Richardson. It shouldn't be that much different though considering both Eddie
Lacy and Jalston Fowler, who will see a majority of the carries this season,
both averaged at least 6.9 YPC in 2011/12.
Defensively, the Crimson Tide lost quite a few starters to
the NFL, but Saban is one of the country's best recruiters and there's bound to
be plenty of young guys that step up and make their names known.
College Football ATS Pick
The Wolverines could be in for a world of hurt. They had a
spectacular season last year, but the Crimson Tide are a whole different animal
and their superior athleticism on both sides of the ball should prove to be too
Robinson will have to have the game of his life for Michigan
to stay competitive. He has to avoid mistakes and that's going to be tricky
against Alabama's immensely quick and instinctive defense.
We can expect quite a crowd for the Crimson Tide at Cowboys
Stadium and in the end I feel they'll have too much talent for the Wolverines.
Alabama is my pick on the spread this weekend.
Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -12.5
Be sure to be
on the lookout for our O/U pick and then a final analysis later on in the week!