The Friday night Lights are on this week in Fort Collins, Colorado. Why? because the Falcons will be hosting the Wolf Pack. We think this game might turn into an offensive shootout. So, let's look at the total for your college football picks.
Nevada vs. Air Force
The odds are tight for Friday night's clash between Nevada
and Air Force. The Wolf Pack, looking to bounce back after a tough loss to San
Diego State, hold the favorites tag. Are they the right side with your college football
Neither of these teams has been getting it done at the
betting window for handicappers.
The Wolf Pack may be 6-2 SU this season, but they're 2-6
against the spread. Air Force is 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS through seven games so far.
Nevada has looked the better of the two teams this year,
which would explain why they're favored by a field goal for Friday's matchup.
An O/U of 65 has risen ever so slightly up to 65.5 and even to 66 at some books
like Bookmaker. The OVER is 4-3 in Nevada's games and 2-4 in Air Force's.
Nevada Wolf Pack
On a roll with five straight wins, the Wolf Pack came
crashing back down to earth with a 39-38 overtime loss to San Diego State last
Offensive production wasn't an issue in the slightest for
Nevada, but their defense had trouble throughout, and ultimately they
surrendered a game-winning two-point conversion in overtime to lose in
QB Cody Fajardo had to be devastated with the loss,
considering he passed for 304 yards and three touchdowns. Wideout Brandon
Wimberly had his best game of the season, catching 10 passes for 132 yards and
The potent Wolf Pack running game was also working well,
with six different players combining for 304 total yards and three touchdowns.
Running the ball has been Nevada's main source of offense
this season. They rank seventh in the nation at 272.0 YPG, with Stefphon
Jefferson notching 1248 rushing yards and 15 rushing TDs already this season.
Fajardo has done his part too, running 92 times for 587 yards and eight
touchdowns of his own.
Air Force Falcons
The Falcons are no strangers to effective running either, as
they're even higher up at #2 in rushing offense at a staggering 352.7 YPG.
It's downright amazing how many different weapons Air Force
has had within their ground attack. For example, in last weekend's 28-23 win
over New Mexico, four different Falcons had at least 41 yards rushing, with Ty
MacArthur picking up 94 yards on seven rushes and Wes Cobb going for 82 yards and
Run, run and run some more: that's been Air Force's
philosophy this season and it's been working relatively well.
QB Connor Dietz hasn't been asked to do too much whatsoever,
as he's attempted only 69 passes in seven games. As long as he limits mistakes
(zero interceptions so far) and can keep defenses honest here and there, the
Falcons can just unleash their ground game and go from there.
With ten different players having scored a rushing TD
already this season, the Wolf Pack are going to have their hands full with this
rushing attack. A little taste of their own medicine.
College Football Pick
A tough one here, as both teams' proficiency to run the ball
down their opponents throats could make this one go either way with regards to
But when I look closely at these teams, I see two defenses
that are struggling mightily. The Falcons are #106 in run defense, so you know
they're going to be in for a heck of a long night against Fajardo and Stefphon
Meanwhile, Nevada's defense hasn't been any better, so
they're going to be susceptible to some long plays on Friday night.
This is a high O/U, one that's sure to keep people away from
the OVER. I'm not going to be one of them though – I'm expecting a shootout
here and putting that down on my ticket as my Friday College Football Pick.
College Football Picks: OVER 65.5