After opening up the season red hot, West Virginia has hit a low point in their season. The Mountaineers are the losers of 2 straight and were embarrassed badly in both games. Can the return to their home stadium finally get them back in rhythm to pick up a win against TCU?

The Situation

Geno SmithThe West Virginia Mountaineers were looking like one of the best teams in the nation, starting out 5-0, hanging a combined 260 points in those games. Quarterback Geno Smith had even looked like a lock for the Heisman Trophy at one point. However, all that has gone away over the past two games. The explosive WVU offense has been held to 14 points in each of their last two games, while they had their doors blown off 49-14 to Texas Tech and 55-14 to K- State.

Meanwhile, TCU has lost their starting quarterback, Casey Pachall, and it looked like they weren't going to miss a beat without him. In the second game of Pachall’s absence, back up QB, Trevone Boykin passed for 261 yards and 4 touchdowns as the Horned Frogs routed Baylor 49-21. Since then, things have gone downhill for TCU, and just like West Virginia, they find themselves as the losers of two straight as well. To add to injury, 2nd string starting QB Trevone Boykin is listed as questionable for the game.

These factors have led the College Football odds makers to open West Virginia is as a 7 point favorite with the total set at 71. Early betting action has since seen the total fall to 68 points, while the spread can be found between 6 and 6.5 points.

Let’s further breakdown this matchup and decide where the best value lies for our College Football Picks.

We like West Virginia to bounce back strong 

You can only keep this offense down for so long, as they are too damn explosive and have so many talented play makers. After taking two straight beatings, one has to think their pride has been damaged and they will be out for absolute blood against TCU. They are stepping into a good situation as well, being that the Horned Frogs have given up 56 points and 36 points in their last two games alone. Despite the disasters in their last two games, QB Geno Smith is still 5th in the nation with 353 passing yards per game, 26 touch downs, while completing 77% of his passes. They still have two of the most dynamic wide outs in the country in Steadman Bailey (59 catches, 800 yards, 14 touchdowns) and Travon Austin (74 catches, 788 yards 9 touchdowns). 

West Virginia defense gets a break it desperately needs.

With the first string quarterback out, and option listed as questionable, the TCU offense is going to suffer some major growing pains. There is no doubt that the WVU defense has been one of the worst in the nation, but going up against a 3rd string QB, Is just what the Dr. ordered. In their last game TCU scored 14 points in the first quarter, then were shut out for the rest of the game, with a total of just 14 first downs, 2-14 on third down and only 344 yards.

Take West Virginia -6.5

The WVU stock is very low right now in the public’s eye, and that is the perfect opportunity to take advantage of the college football betting lines. If you could have taken this team laying less than a TD at home, no less, before their 2 losses, you would not think twice about it. We fully expect the Mountaineers to play with a great deal of pride and emotion after being embarrassed twice. With the TCU defense regressing badly in their last two games, we like WVU to get back to their old explosive winning ways. This is a great situational spot to back WVU here.

College Football Picks: West Virginia -6.5 is our recommended play.