I have made it no secret that I am confidently betting on the Nebraska Cornhuskers to topple the Michigan State Spartans this weekend. Now I am going even a step further, as I have constructed a parlay bet sure to make you money.
Final Thoughts
I like the Nebraska Cornhuskers in this matchup as outlined in previous articles
and in my SBR thread. I also have a lean toward the ‘UNDER’ play as well.
Combining the TWO 5* bets
and placing a 1.5* bet on Nebraska and Oklahoma to cover ATS as a straight
two-team parlay.
Making the Plays with
Teasers
I know some of you like to play teasers and parlays. It has been
a long time since I have added more financial risk to my releases and college football picks with
teasers and parlays. However, for this game I will provide you with some different college football betting strategies to help you make the most out of this game.
In addition to the pair of 5* wagers, I also like no more than a
3* amount playing a teaser with Nebraska and the ‘under’. Moreover, you can add
no more than a 2* amount parlaying Nebraska and the ‘under’. Based on my money
management methodologies and probabilistic grid, these equate to roughly an
8.5* bet on Nebraska or an 8.5 star bet on the ‘under’.
Since you are asking, I
like Nebraska quite a bit, so I would prefer to add 3.5* to the Nebraska bet
and keep the 5*‘UNDER” in tact and only add the 3* teaser bet. This is my
preferred recommendation for your consideration.
Offensive Game Plans
I
do believe that the game plans for both teams will be to run the ball first and
this will make for a very short first half. A suggestion is to play the ‘under’
for the first half and see how the game goes. If that wins, it stands to reason
that the ‘under’ would be a viable option for the second half as well.
One
of the best posters was SacHusker916, who brought some very meaningful insight
to this game. “Nebraska, as stated above has a suspect defense and suspect
offense....If Mich St gets any pressure on Martinez at QB its gonna result in
Nebraska having to count on the run game and Michigan St has one of the better
run D's as we all know.. Bottom line is Taylor Martinez at QB rarely
wins a big game against a solid team, im struggling to name one actually and if
you look at Mich St. this year, besides letting Wisconsin score 31 last week
they dont allow many points, I think 14 was the most in the previous 5 weeks…”
All
very good, but quarterback Taylor Martinez is a Sophomore quarterback that is
on a a very steep learning curve. He is 6-1 200 pounds with excellent speed and
quickness. His reads have been that of a Sophomore experienced quarterback, but
since the loss to Wisconsin this Nebraska team has played at a far better
performance level. I do expect them to play their best game of the season and
Martinez will have a big game. I realize this is in the minority of opinions
that Nebraska cannot win with him under center. I can tell you that based on my
already published articles the matchups heavily favor Nebraska in my opinion.
One
of these matchups will be based on the Spartan defensive scheme. I think we all
will agree that they will put seven or eight men in the box and look to stop
the Nebraska running game first. However, this opens up huge ball control pass
opportunities that are very easy to execute - even for a Sophomore quarterback.
Kyler
Reed is the unexpected player I think will have his biggest game of the season.
With eight men in the box, Reed will be matched up against a slower line backer
and will be able to gain separation quickly with slant routes. He only has
eight receptions for 165 yards on the season, but the Spartan defense may give
him eight catches in this game.
Best
of luck to all.