The Wildcats and Longhorns are both capable of putting points on the board, as they meet up in a Big 12 Conference matchup on Saturday. Check out our college football picks play on the total.
Longhorns have been streaky
Texas had its four-game win streak snapped in a 20-13 loss to the TCU Horned Frogs as 7.5-point home favorites on Thanksgiving Day, while going UNDER the total for a fourth consecutive contest. The Longhorns have fallen short of the betting total in six of their 11 games overall, which included a five-game stretch of climbing over the number from Sept. 15 to Oct. 20.
Wildcats have put up some points at Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Kansas State returns home after suffering its first loss of the season, as the program looks to bounce back from a 52-24 blowout defeat to the Baylor Bears as 12-point favorites on Nov. 17. The Wildcats are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) at home this year, with the OVER cashing in all five games when the total was offered on the college football odds page.
McCoy gets the call
Case McCoy will be under center for the Longhorns in their regular season finale, with David Ash suffering a rib injury against the Horned Frogs. He started five games during the 2011 campaign, but lost the quarterback job in the preseason. McCoy will need to protect the football after the team committed a season-high four turnovers last week, considering that Kansas State leads the nation with a plus-19 turnover margin.
Klein hopes to get things going again
Wildcats quarterback Collin Klein was the betting favorite to win the 2012 Heisman Trophy earlier this month, but he’s accounted for just four touchdowns and four turnovers in his past two games. Klein is still one of the more dangerous dual-threat options under center, considering he has rushed for at least 20 touchdowns and passed for at least 10 scores in multiple seasons. It’s important to note that Texas has held him to just 223 combined yards of total offense in the last two meetings in this series.
Turnaround on defense
The Longhorns are worth backing as one of your college football picks against the spread this week if you buy into their defensive turnaround, as they’ve allowed just 16.5 points per game over their last four contests. It’s an impressive figure when you consider that the program allowed 35.0 points per game in its first seven games of the 2012 college football season. The UNDER is 3-1 in the Longhorns’ four games as a road underdog since 2010.
Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the UNDER in this Big 12 Conference showdown, especially since the betting total is currently 8.5 points higher than any number that this series has seen in the last 10 meetings. Kansas State has been an offensive juggernaut in front of its fan base this year, but has gained just 394 combined yards in beating Texas the last two years.
College Football Week 14 Pick: Under 63.5 at 5Dimes
Don't forget to read Jeff's early odds and leans article on the game.