College Football Betting Preview South Florida at Florida

By: | www.sbrforum.com

The Tim Tebow era is very hard to forget for Gator fans especially after one of the worst offensive displays last week against Miami (OH) under head coach Urban Meyer. 


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College football betting action on the Saturday Schedule.

NCAAF Odds - Florida -15 / 50 points

Xavier Nixon for the FLorida GatorsThe Gators committed eight fumbles losing three of them and had gained 25 total yards offense with minus 16 rushing through the first three quarters. The negative rushing yardage was attributed to several extremely poor snaps from new starting center Mike Pouncey, who was moved to center after playing guard last season. He had one snap that was several feet over the head of new quarterback John Brantley.

To satisfy the NCAAF bookmakers the offense needs to improve quickly and correct all the mistakes from this past week.  If not for four interceptions including a 67 interception return for a touchdown, that game would have been far closer than the 34-12 final indicates.

No doubt Florida will be far better on offense with the return of left tackle Xavier Nixon and wide receiver Frankie Hammond from suspension.

Left guard Carl Johnson and safety Will Hall will also be available after serving their one game suspensions for unspecified reasons. This will add much needed depth, especially at wide receiver where starters last week played nearly down and most others were true freshman or red shirt freshman.

So, Florida will have a formed rotation of receivers coming in and out of the game and that alone will improve in the consistency of the offense.

South Florida had a strong game last week, but it was against a FCS Stoney Brook team. They did start off slow trailing at one point 14-7, but then cleared the rust and got things rolling.

They will certainly have a much more difficult time against Florida and their betting line reflects this. They do return 10 starters including their quarterback Daniels and that will certainly serve them well against FCS opponents, but not an already strong and improving Florida defense.

South Florida returns just five starters to the defense and it is here that Florida will be quite successful and score points.

It is reasonable to state that Florida will gain a minimum of 6.5 or more yards per play. Florida is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Meyer is also 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games off a home win by 17 points.

Holtz is in his first season at South Florida and is a solid 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a dog in all games he has coached since 1992.

If you are thinking possible upset and will want some action on the NCAAF money line then check out this system that has gone just 45-110 for 29% winners, but has made an incredible 127.8 units since 2000. Play on dogs of +315 or higher versus the money line after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half. The average play has been a DOG of +529 that has won 29% of the games. An amazing system and one that you can trust to make you more money as games qualify.

With the questions and concerns related to the Florida offense it is very difficult to lay 15 points to an intra-state rival that has 10 starters returning on offense including their quarterback.

Bookmaker has this game lined at Florida -15 -110 and a posted total of 50 1/2. You pay -110 for either the 'over' or 'under' play. They also have a money line for those who like the aforementioned system posted at South Florida +525 and Florida -650.

 

 

 



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