On September 2nd (11:30 PM EST) the USC Trojans
will travel to Honolulu to face the Hawaii Warriors **09/01/2010 UPDATE**
spread odds betting odds handicapping
See how the lines have moved and read the latest update on USC vs Hawaii in NCAAF 2010 right here!
Matched up against Hawaii (6-7), USC (9-4) is a heavy
favorite (-18) against the pass-heavy warriors.
Expect that line to keep increasing as we close in on September 2nd.
Hawaii boasts the third ranked passing game and the overall
14th best offense in the nation last year. With a number of receivers gone from the
talented corps from last year, such as Bess, Rivers, Hawthorne, and
Grice-Mullen, Greg Salas and others hope to fill in the holes that accounted
for the Warriors production last year.
Perhaps the biggest hole in the offense of the Warriors is
the lack of pass protection up front.
When this is coupled with the lack of rushing production for Hawaii,
things already aren't looking good for the Warriors.
Defensively Hawaii was liable last year, especially in
giving up the run. A strong secondary
that is returning should help things, but don't expect too much for Hawaii
defensively, especially against such a talented team as the Trojans.
These concerns for Hawaii were evident in their final game
against the Wisconsin Badgers (9-3). The
Badgers rushed for 301 yards and seven touchdowns in the 51-10 beating in Honolulu.
Offensively the Warriors only managed a net of 17 yards
rushing. Moniz was only 15/34 with one
touchdown, two interceptions, and 197 total yards.
With these considerations in place, it does not seem as if
the Warriors will be able to get much going on either side of the ball, similar
to what Wisconsin experienced.
The Trojans boast one of the best talents at the quarterback
position in Matt Barkley. Allen Bradford
should be ready to take advantage of the suspect Hawaii rush defense, where
Bradford led the team in eight touchdowns as the backup running back.
In the matchup USC is expected to shut down the weak
protection on the air and ground for Hawaii.
Junior defensive tackle Jurrell Casey is a handful upfront, requiring
help to contain the man who received 4.5 sacks and 59 tackles last season, nine
of which were tackles for loss.
The pass defense for USC may seem suspect with only five
returning starters. This may be enough
to produce a level of risk for USC as a heavy favorite (-18). However, it is hard to imagine that against a
less-than-talented Hawaii squad, USC will have too much trouble, even in
Hawaii.
The combination of suspect protection for Hawaii should mean
more possessions for USC. This is quite
dangerous with the talent USC has offensively.
Look for USC to dominate Hawaii on both sides of the
ball. Hawaii will be less than likely to
get much going on the ground, which does not bode well for the single dimension
of the passing game that was seen last year, especially against a tough
opponent.
Look for a reminiscent showdown of what Hawaii faced last
year against Wisconsin. It seems
unlikely that Hawaii will have much of a chance in this game, or in the current
line (-18) for that matter, but make sure to keep checking the odds here, lines
move and you don't want to miss out.
Don't be surprised to see the odds rise against USC for this
matchup. If you like the Trojans, get in
early as it might grow as September 2nd comes closer. If not, wait it out to get some better odds
as expected.
USC's high-powered offense should dominate against Hawaii to
open up the season.