Chris Carpenter continues to quietly be one of the best pitchers in baseball, while Ricky Romero has been a beast at home with a 1.69 ERA and 0.85 WHIP. Don't look for much scoring in Toronto.
Chris Carpenter of the St. Louis Cardinals remains one of the best pitchers in all of baseball, but Ricky Romero actually has quite comparable numbers when pitching at home for the Toronto Blue Jays, so runs should be at a premium at Rogers Centre tonight.
The bookmakers have set an understandable total of 7½ on this contest, with the betting odds on the ‘under’ set at a flat -110.
Carpenter is having a typically great season for him, as he is 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 15 starts. He has 11 Quality Starts in 15 starts overall, although his fourth non-quality outing came last time out vs. Oakland. It is worth noting however that in all three of his starts following his other non-quality efforts he allowed one run or less! Thus, he never has two bad starts in a row and can be counted on to bounce back strong tonight.
That said, it is not a given that the Cardinals will win this contest because of the way Romero has pitched in this stadium. He has made six starts in Toronto, and he has a stellar 1.69 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 48 home innings. Romero is a perfect six for six in Quality Starts here, and he is coming off of a very strong road outing in San Diego where he allowed just one run and five hits in six innings.
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This will also be the first time St. Louis has ever faced the young southpaw, which should make him doubly tough, and somewhat surprisingly, the Cardinals are batting a modest .245 vs. left-handed pitching this season compared to .266 vs. right-handers.
Thus, look for both pitchers to keep the opposing offense at bay and to pitch deep into this contest, meaning that these clubs should have a difficult time reaching even six runs combined.
Free Play: Cardinals, Blue Jays Under 7½ (-110)