MLB Betting: National League Team Money Report

Our combined NL & AL Play Against reports through four weeks are now at 16-12 making 13.65 units per five units wagered. How are things looking in the National League, and how can we use it to our advantage when it comes to MLB betting?

I have begun a weekly series that is released on Tuesdays and with this one representing the fifth installment. These reports focuses on identifying teams that have reached unsustainable levels of performance and are about to embark on a series of average or below average performances. We have seen through the years of MLB seasons, that even the best teams go through strong dominated winning streaks and will also have some very dark times where the media sometimes attacks managers and players alike for the unacceptable performances.

The weaker teams will go through their own brief winning streaks, but is certainly a red flag to begin facing a losing record team that suddenly gets on a four or more game winning streak. These are very broad statements and not specific enough to warrant any recommended plays. However, the nuts and bolts of these articles will provide you with solid opportunities certainly worth your consideration.

Here is a review of both NL and AL recommended plays. All plays are released as 5* Titans and are reviewed at the MLB with John Ryan thread.

In last week’s National League edition, I recommended plays on Seattle as they hosted the Giants in a three-game interleague series. Seattle lost 4-2 in Game 1 and were installed as -111 favorites losing 5.55 units per one unit wagered. Seattle won Game 2, 7-4, and were installed as -102 favorites. The Sunday final saw Seattle win 2-1 and were installed as -110 favorites. So, the three plays produced a profit of 4.45 units per 5* unit wagered.

In the American league edition, I had recommended plays against the Baltimore Orioles in their three game sets against the Braves and then the Mets. The Mets series started Monday with R. A. Dockey posting his fifth consecutive start without allowing an earned run and has had eight or more strikeouts in each of them.

This past Friday, Atlanta defeated the Orioles 4-2, installed as -150 MLB odds favorites. Baltimore came back in Game 2, and defeated the Braves 5-0 with the Braves installed as -155 favorites. Sunday, the Braves were shutout a second straight day losing 2-0 and were installed as -115 favorites. These three games plus the Monday loss to the Mets bring this four-game total to just 1-3 losing 13.5 units per 5* unit wagered. Net for all of the plays combined for a 3-4 mark losing 9.05 units per 5* unit wagered.

Net Money Won Through Games of June 12, 2012

Net Money Won Through Games of June 18, 2012

The Top-3 teams remained the same over the past week with the Dodgers making 15.25 units per one unit wagered in all games played this season. The Dodgers, who own the best record in MLB, have increased their National League West division lead over the Giants by one game to 4 ½ games spanning the last 10 games. I still do not see them as a fade given their consistent winning ways.

They start a three-game set at Oakland where they may be more attractive road favorites then fades against arguably the worst offense in MLB. Check out the thread for any additional plays each.

Washington has lost three straight games and they were a play against outlined in the thread over the weekend where I played on the Yankees in three straight winning plays against the Nationals. I also see them as a fade for the next three game stretch. The Nationals face Tampa bay tonight (Tuesday) in Game 1 of a three-game set. Then Friday, the Nationals will face the Orioles, where the Orioles are listed in the Top-5 net money won lists and also top out as the most profitable team in the American Leage. So, this series between the Orioles and nationals may not provide any solid money making opportunities.

The Pirates are the surprise team in the National League Central sporting a winning record of 34-31 and are attempting to erase losing record seasons stretching back to 1992. They have a three-game set hosting the Twins starting Tuesday, but then the schedule gets far more difficult. The Pirates will host Detroit for a three-game set starting Friday, then will travel to a very desperate Phillies team for four games followed by a three game set at St. Louis. The results of this stretch will have a large impact on whether the Pirates have the staying power to remain contenders and possible buyers in July.