Big right-hander Josh Johnson has helped pitch his Marlins to wins in all four of his home starts in 2010. Make that all five after Thursday's victory over the Mets.
Our Thursday night MLB selection is on the Florida Marlins at home in Miami over the New York Mets.
Josh Johnson will take the mound for the Fish, and he's been simply brilliant for the most part this season. Johnson's overall ERA is 3.35 in seven starts, and it gets even better in his home ball park: 2.42 with a 1.07 WHIP.
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Overall, he's undefeated at home (3-0), and Florida even won one of his home starts in which he received a no-decision. Thus, the Fish have won all four of his home games this year.
That's in stark contrast to the work that Mets ace Johan Santana is putting in on the road. Away from Citi Field, Santana is a disastrous 0-1 (in two starts) with an 8.43 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.
Overall this year, Santana is 3-2 with an unsightly (for him) ERA of 4.54.
New York is an awful 16-45 on the road at night over the last two seasons, and with the odds of this game priced very reasonably (Florida is currently -120), we'll step in and take the Marlins behind Johnson.
Free Pick: Marlins -125
For an opposing view, see Cajun Sports' free pick on this contest.