SJ is locked
and loaded for Saturday MLB.
MLB: 22-11-1 (+38.50 units)
2011 NFL: 48-33-7 (+34.75 units)
2011-2012 NCAA: 18-15-1
*All bets are weighted between 1 and 5
Last Week (1-2, -2.8 units)
Swingin' is offered here at SBR for your reading and listening enjoyment
(nobody knows how to flatter themselves like me) each and every Saturday. So if you are an active gambler or if your
fantasy baseball interests lure you away from your mundane daily activities
then you know that a week in the gambling/fantasy sports world might as well be
a month. It's hard to remember if not
impossible to clearly recall what we did exactly a week ago.
was with shock and dismay that I reviewed my record from last Saturday and, wonder
of all wonders, we lost! Yes, it's been
a while and we didn't lose much but dammit we lost. We ventured an opinion on the Phillies -1 ½
(+150) for 3 units and they lost outright 5-4 to Ricky Nolasco and the Miami
Marlins. Hey, we saved the vig, what can
I tell you?
surmised that the Houston Astros would snap their tailspin but nooooo, not on
this night. They lost a slugfest to the
Reds 12-9 as +115 home underdogs for 3 units.
Remind me to stay the hell away from Houston please. They lose when I back them and destroy me
when I advise a wager against them.
there was silver lining, not much of one but here it is. We backed the Seattle Mariners at a good
price (+140) for only 2 units against the woeful Gavin Floyd and the White
Sox. Finally, we did something
right. The Mariners redeemed us and won
10-8 which brought us back +2.8 units.
Let's see if there are more big dogs in our future as we venture into
the Major League waters on Saturday June 9th, 2012.
4:10 PM ET San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers
defeated San Diego last night and have now notched three wins in a row as they
take the field on Saturday yet again against the anemic Padres offense. There are times when you bet a team because
they're simply that good or fade a team because they are just that bad. This play falls in the latter category.
own a 19-40 record, the worst in the major leagues. They also have the second lowest run total
and the very worst run differential at -72.
They used four pitchers last night as the Brew Crew lit up the
scoreboard with 9 runs. Factor into this
equation that the Padres are using a converted reliever to start this game as
Andrew Cashner will be pressed into service.
If you think
he's ready to go deep just read what manager Bud Black had to say, "We'll see how it goes. Ideally, he'll
pitch into the third inning (Saturday) and we'll see where his pitch count is."
All the way
into the 3rd inning?! And
don't forget, the Padres used their pen last night to the tune of three
relievers. This looks like good fade
material and we will even lay the run line as the Brewers should be able to
score plenty today. Play Milwaukee -1 ½ (+150) for 3 units.
4:10 PM ET Detroit Tigers at Cincinnati Reds
If there is
such a thing as a due factor than Jason Verlander is overdue. The guy is a certified, genuine beast on the
hill but he has struggled recently. In
his last three starts he is 0-3 with a 4.43 ERA and thankfully that will lessen
the odds on Detroit today. Though his
recent starts may give you pause for cause, let's look at how he has fared in
interleague play shall we?
16-2 with a 2.75 ERA in interleague play during his career. He flirted with a no-hitter against
Pittsburgh in a 6-0 victory on May 18th, his last victory. Now he goes up against a Cincinnati Reds club
that has a torrid hitter in Joey Votto at the plate but a tail-spinning pitcher
in Bronson Arroyo who is winless this year at home. He has lost his last three outings and has a
5.46 ERA in those appearances. He got touched
by the Astros for 5 runs over 6+ innings of work last Sunday in his latest
Reds won a 10th inning nail biter last night as they nipped the
Tigers 6-5 and Detroit has now lost eight of their last eleven games. But they may be getting centerfielder Austin
Jackson back as he has been rehabbing since the middle of May.
I would love
to play the Tigers on the run line particularly because they are guaranteed all
27 outs as the visitor but we will lay the lumber and like it. Play
the Tigers -140 for 3 units.
*4:10 PM ET LA Angels at Colorado Rockies
Oh my, where
do I begin? Let's start with the Rockies
starting pitcher today, Jeff Francis.
Yes, that Jeff Francis from 5 years ago when the Rockies won their only
pennant. Francis had been toiling away
in the Cincinnati Reds farm system until he opted out of his contract and
signed with the Rockies. He had posted
an underwhelming 3-6 record with a 3.72 ERA for Triple-A Louisville this
season. The Rockies have been outscored
23-3 during their three game losing streak and they have not scored more than 4
runs since June 1st.
will start Dan Haren who was roughed up earlier this season though he is
finally harnessing his enormous talent and getting back on track. Haren has given up only 3 runs over his last
three starts. The Angels had no problems
with the Rockies last night and today will not be any different. * MAX
PLAY Play the Angels -1 ½ (+120) for 5 units.
7:15 PM ET LA Dodgers at Seattle Mariners
is telling me that the Dodgers should be about -180 favorites in this
spot. While I'm not always convinced the
computer has it right, I'm thinking there may be something to be said for
artificial intelligence as it pertains to the Dodgers over the Mariners
Kershaw is chucking for the Dodgers and they have to be smarting after getting
no-hit last night for the first time in 18 years. But I like the fact that Seattle had to use 6
pitchers last night. Perfect, because
the Dodgers will be feasting if the Mariners have to go to the pen early and
pull starter Jason Vargas.
Kershaw is a
very good pitcher who is not having a particularly good year. But he has not been getting any run support
while Jason Vargas is a decent, though not upper echelon pitcher, who has been
the beneficiary of big time run support from his club. I say the Dodgers wake up and get the victory. Play
the Dodgers -135 for 2 units.