As part of my MLB picks for this Monday I have full analysis, breakdown and picks on the games between the Minnesota Twins and New York Yankees and the San Diego Padres against the Colorado Rockies.
5* graded play on the Minnesota Twins as they take on the New York Yankees set to start at 7:05 PM ET.
The current MLB lines for this game are listed as +168 taking the Twins. I do expect this line to climb during the day given the Yankees recent performance and working an order at +175 is advisable.
The old Yankee Stadium was Minnesota’s House of Horrors. Under current Twins skipper Gardenhire, the Twins are 7-33 in games played at the old Yankee Stadium and just 2-9 at the new edition of Yankee Stadium. Trends like this one end and sometimes very abruptly as I expect will be the case in this series. This is a four game set and I believe strongly that the Twins will take at least two of the four games.
The American League East standings
are very tight with New York, Baltimore, and Toronto all posting 5-4 records. Both Boston and Tampa Bay are at 4-5 with Tampa Bay having lost the first three games of a four game set at Fenway. The fourth game started at 11:05 AM ET and is a tradition associated with Patriots Day celebrations.
Minnesota is off to a slow 2-7 start and is a dominant reason why they are significant dogs in this game against the Yankees. They are last in the American League Central and suffering through a three-game losing streak. The Twins are hitting the ball and rank eighth in MLB with a .258 batting average. However, they are not doing well with runners in scoring position and rank just 27th in MLB scoring only 28 runs on the season. All teams go through these tough spots with RISP situations and I fully expect them to bust out of the slump during this series.
Twins starter Pavano has done well against the Yankees despite being 0-3 in seven starts. he has posted a 3.92 ERA and 1.099 WHIP in those seven starts. He has allowed an impressive .215 batting average to the current members of the Yankees in their respective careers spanning 93 at-bats.
Take the Twins tonight for a 5* graded play.
5* graded play on San Diego as they take on the Colorado Rockies in National League West action set to start at 8:40 PM ET.
The simulator shows a high probability that San Diego will get enough runs across the plate to win this game and upset their +110 underdog tag on the MLB odds
Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 57-32 and has made 30.9 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play against all teams with a money line of -100 to -150 and is a terrible fielding team averaging 0.9 or more errors per game on the season.Supporting game situations favoring San Diego
There are several game situations supporting the Padres to get this road win. First, Colorado starter Guthrie is just 13-30 losing 20.9 units per one unit wagered using the money line when facing poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less home runs per game since 1997. San Diego’s offensive struggles have gone on for several seasons and this season will probably be more of the same. They will have the pitching and defense though to make a run in the divisional standings.
Colorado has struggled themselves against struggling hitting teams. They have posted a 73-91 record losing 30.6 units per one unit wagered against the money line when facing teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last two seasons. Moreover, the Rockies are just s 31-42 losing 19.5 units per one unit wagered using the money line facing a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better spanning the last two seasons. Take the San Diego padres as a 5* graded play.