Can the Sox hold on to their lead in the Central? Or will the Angels, in their quest to stay in the playoff picture, do Detroit a favor and knock off Chicago a couple of times? And might there be some money to be made betting on this series?
23
SEP
Sunday's Game
By: Ron Patrick
LA has taken the first two games of this series, after
winning Saturday night 4-2. The Angels came through for us as -175 favorites
Saturday, and the game played UNDER its total of eight.
So LA's victory, combined with an Oakland loss in New York,
brings the Angels to within 2.5 games of the A's in the battle for the second
American League Wild-Card spot.
Chicago, meanwhile, has now lost four games in a row,
scoring a total of seven runs in the process. So the Sox's lead in the AL
Central has dwindled to just a half-game over second-place Detroit.
Sunday's Starters
LA will throw Cy Young candidate Jered Weaver (18-4, 2.79)
Sunday afternoon against Gavin Floyd (10-10, 4.50) for Chicago.
Weaver is 20-for-27 on quality starts this season, and two
for his last three. His last time out he gave up three runs on six hits through
seven innings vs. the Rangers, and over his last three starts he's allowed five
earned runs through 19 1/3 innings. He has also, however, been tagged for four
home runs over those last three starts.
On the season, Weaver has allowed just 135 hits through 174
innings.
This will be Weaver's first start this year vs. the White
Sox. Last year Weaver went 2-0 vs. Chicago, allowing just two ER in 14 innings
of work.
Floyd, meanwhile, is 11-for-26 on quality starts this year,
and just one for his last seven. Most recently, Floyd held the Royals to two
runs through seven innings, so since a stint on the DL with a sore elbow he's
allowed five ER through 11 2/3 innings.
On the season, Floyd has allowed 154 hits, including 20
homers, in 150 innings.
In two starts this year vs. LA, Floyd has been clipped for 12
ER and 18 hits in 12 1/3 innings. The Sox lost both those games.
Sunday's Betting Odds
and Trends
Several online sportsbooks opened this game with the Angels
favored by around -180, but quickly bumped LA to -200 and even -210. The Angels
can also be played at around +105 giving the run and a half on the run line at
various baseball betting outlets.
And the total on Sunday's game sits at 7.5.
Free MLB Pick for
Sunday
Weaver holds a clear
advantage in the pitching matchup for this game, but that price is a little
steep for our taste. So
we'll go with the Angels on the run line for Sunday's
game.
22
SEP
Saturday's Game
By: Ron Patrick
LA took the opener of this series Friday night, 6-2, getting
five runs in four innings off Jake Peavy and a very quality outing from Ervin
Santana. The Angels won as -135 favorites on the MLB betting line, and the game
sneaked OVER its total of 7.5 when Chicago scored a meaningless run in the
top of the eighth.
So LA, with five wins in its last eight games, now trails
Oakland by 3.5 games in the battle for the second AL Wild-Card spot.
The White Sox, meanwhile, have lost three straight games,
and now lead the AL Central by just a game and a half over second-place
Detroit.
Saturday's Starters
LA will throw Dan Haren (11-11, 4.31) Saturday night against
Chicago with Jose Quintana (6-4, 3.69).
Haren, by our tough standards, is just 11-for-28 on quality
starts this season, although two for his last four. In his latest start, he held
the Royals to two earned runs through 5 2/3 innings, and over his last four
starts, he's allowed six ER and 17 hits in 25 innings.
On the season, Haren has still allowed more hits, 171, than
innings pitched, 159, and given up 25 homers, but his K/BB ratio is very good,
at 127/37.
In his one start this year vs. the White Sox, Haren held them
to one ER and four hits over six innings back in early August.
Quintana is 10-for-22 on quality starts this season, but
only one for his last five. His last time out he gave up four runs and seven
hits in four innings vs. the Tigers, and over his last five starts he's allowed
20 earned runs and 31 hits over just 22 1/3 innings. Those last five outings
have bumped Quintana's ERA almost a full run, and that's hard to do this late
in a season.
On the year Quintana has allowed more hits, 130, than
innings pitched, 127, walked 34 and struck out 75.
This will be Quintana's first career start vs. the Angels.
Saturday's Betting
Odds
As of Saturday AM, most MLB odds makers were listing Haren and the
Angels at right around -170 for Saturday night's game, with a total of eight or
8.5.
LA could also be found at around +120 on the run line at
various baseball betting outlets.
Free MLB Pick for
Saturday
We took a hit with
Chicago as a dog Friday night as the Sox continued to have trouble scoring
runs. As for Saturday, Haren has been better lately, while Quintana has
struggled. So, we'll go with the Angels.
21
SEP
Friday's Game
By: Ron Patrick
White Sox – Angels:
Tangle in Anaheim
The Chicago White Sox continue to lead the AL Central and
the LA Angels continue to chase in the AL Wild-Card race. So, there are serious
playoff implications as these teams begin a three-game series in Anaheim Friday
night.
Chicago-Los Angeles:
Series Set-Up
The White Sox just dropped two of three games in Kansas
City, losing Thursday's series rubber match 4-3 on a Royals run in the bottom
of the ninth. So after winning five games in a row Chicago has lost two
straight.
The Sox had been banging the ball around a bit, recently
scoring at least five runs in 10 of 12 games. But they got held to six runs
total in the three games in KC.
Big-picture, Chicago still owns a two-game lead in the AL
Central over the Tigers, with 13 games remaining on both team's schedules.
Meanwhile, LA just dropped two of three games at home to
Texas, losing that series rubber match Thursday night 3-1 on a two-run Adrian
Beltre homer in the top of the ninth. So the Angels have lost six of their last
10 games, which is not the way to make up ground in a playoff race.
Heading into Friday LA trails the Orioles and Athletics by
4.5 games in the AL Wild-Card standings.
As far as the season series between these teams goes, back
in May they split two games in Anaheim. Then in August the Sox took two of
three games from the Angels in Chicago.
Friday's Pitching
Matchup
LA will throw Ervin
Santana (8-12, 5.08) Friday night against Jake Peavy (11-11, 3.26) for Chicago. Santana is 14-for-28 on quality starts this season, and five
for his last six. Most recently Santana held the A's to one earned run and four hits through six innings, and over his last three starts he's given up just
five ER and 12 hits over 19 2/3 innings.
In his one start this year vs. the White Sox Santana allowed
two ER and five hits over six innings of a 6-5 Angels victory back in August.Santana's main problem this year has been with the long
ball; over 168 innings, the veteran rightly has been tagged for a ML-high 35
homers. That might not bode well going against the White Sox, who rank second
in the Majors with 195 dingers.
Peavy is 18-for-29 on quality starts this year, and two for
his last three. His last time out Peavy held the Twins to two runs and four
hits througPeavy's last start against the Angels came back in May of
last year, when he gave up four runs and seven hits in six innings of a 6-4
Chicago victory.h six innings, and over his last three starts he's allowed six ER
through 17 2/3 inning.
ChiSox-Angels Injury
Report
Sox slugger Paul Konerko sat out Thursday's game with a sore
back, but reports indicate he'll be good to go Friday night.
ChiSox-Angels
Friday's Betting Odds
As of Friday AM most baseball bookmakers were listing LA at
around -130 for Friday night's game, with a total of eight. The Angels actually
opened a little higher on the money line, at around -135 at many shops, but had
been adjusted downwards.
Los Angeles could also be played at upwards of +155 giving
the run and a half on the run line.
Also, BetOnline is chalking the Angels at -215 to win this
series, with Chicago getting +185 as the underdog.
Free MLB Pick: Take the road dog, Chicago.
Both starting pitchers for this game have been pitching
fairly well lately, and both teams have a lot at stake. But in a game that
looks very close to a pick 'em we'll go with the dog and add the White Sox
Friday MLB selections.