Washington ran away with the opener of this series Monday night 14-2, jumping on Giants starter Ryan Vogelsong during a seven-run third inning and piling on from there. Which team are we taking to the MLB betting shops tonight?
By: Ron Patrick -
These two teams have split the first two games of this series, Washington winning 14-2 Monday, and San Fran taking Tuesday's game 6-1.
So the Nationals' lead in the NL East sits at 4.5 games over Atlanta, while the Giants are tied for the lead in the NL West with Los Angeles.
Wednesday's Arms Race
It's a matchup of a former two-time Cy Young winner against a guy who might win a couple of those himself as Tim Lincecum (6-12, 5.35) goes for the Giants against Stephen Strasburg (13-5, 2.90) for the Nats in Wednesday's series rubber match.
Lincecum is only eight-for-23 on quality starts this year, but is working off of three in a row. Last Friday he gave up three runs through seven innings against the Rockies, and over his last three starts he's allowed just five ER in 19 innings.
But in his only start this year against Washington Lincecum got rocked for seven ER on nine hits in just 3 1/3 innings of a 9-3 San Francisco loss back in early July.
On the other side of this matchup Strasburg is 15-for-23 in quality starts this season, and four-for-six since the All-Star break. Last Friday he held Arizona to one run on one hit through six innings, and just before that he held Miami scoreless on three hits through six innings. So Strasburg is giving the Nats solid work, although he isn't going very deep in games.
Strasburg hasn't pitched against San Francisco since 2010.
Wednesday's Betting Odds and Trends
As of Wednesday morning Washington could be had at -116 at Matchbook, while the Giants could be found at +113 at a couple of places, including Pinnacle.
Matchbook was also offering the Nats at +152 giving the run and a half on the run line.
And most baseball betting outlets were listing the total on Wednesday's game at 6.5.
Early action on this game has seen about 60 percent of the action on the side come in on the Nationals, and 65 percent of play on the total come in on the 'over.'
Free MLB Pick
Alright, this series has already given us a couple of headaches. Vogelsong let us down Monday, while the Nats couldn't get anything off of Bumgarner Tuesday. As for Wednesday, while Lincecum has been better as of late, Strasburg has been much more consistent. So we'll go with Washington to take this series finale.
By: Ron Patrick -
The Nationals won as +115 underdogs on Monday's MLB betting
board, and the game, or should we say the Nats, played 'over' the total of 6.5.
So Washington, winners of nine of its last 10 games, now
leads the NL East by 5.5 games over second-place Atlanta. The Nats are also 2.5
games up on the Reds in the battle for the best record in the National League.
San Fran, meanwhile, with Monday's loss dropped back into a
tie for first in the NL West with the Dodgers.
Washington now leads the season series with San Francisco
four games to none.
Tuesday's Arms Update
Tuesday's game gives us what should be a great pitching
matchup as lefty Madison Bumgarner (12-7, 3.08) goes for San Fran against
Jordan Zimmerman (9-6, 2.35) for Washington.
Bumgarner is 15-for-23 on quality starts this season, and
five for his last six. Most recently Bumgarner gave up three runs and three
hits in six innings against St. Louis last Thursday, and since the All-Star
break he's allowed 11 earned runs over 39 innings.
But Bumgarner's worst outing of this season came in his one
start against Washington, back in July, when he got clipped for seven runs on
nine hits, including three homers, in five innings of a 9-4 Giants defeat.
Zimmerman, meanwhile, is 18-for-23 on quality starts this
year, and 12 for his last 13. His last time out Big Z held Houston scoreless on
three hits through six innings, a nice rebound effort after giving up five runs
in five innings against Miami just before that.
Since the All-Star break Zimmerman has held opponents to six
ER through 35 innings.
In his one start this year against the Giants Zimmerman got
a win, allowing one ER on seven hits through six innings of a 9-3 Nats victory
back in July.
Odds and Trends
As of Tuesday AM the best price we could find on the Giants
was the -119 being offered at Pinnacle Sports, while the Nats could be played
at +114 at Matchbook.
Also, most online sportbooks are listing the total on
Tuesday's game at 6.5.
Early action on Tuesday's game has seen about 55 percent of
play on the side come down the underdog,
Washington, while 55 percent of play on the total has come in on the
Free MLB Pick
Hey, when we're wrong, we don't mess around; we go all the
way. We just didn't realize it was the Redskins who were going to show up
Monday night and put a couple of early touchdowns on the board. At least it
didn't cost us all that much. As for Tuesday the Nationals are the hottest team
in baseball, they own an edge in the pitching matchup and they're underdogs on
the MLB betting line. So we'll go with Washington to take Game 2 of this
By: Ron Patrick -
Washington just took two of three games in Arizona over the
weekend, missing out on the sweep and having an eight-game winning streak
snapped by a 7-4 loss Sunday.
Meanwhile, the Giants just took two of three games from
Colorado over the weekend, winning Sunday's series rubber match 9-6, rallying
for five runs in the bottom of the eighth.
So Washington, at 71-44, leads the NL East by 4.5 games over
second-place Atlanta, and the Nats are two games up on Cincinnati in the battle
for the best record in the National League.
San Francisco, on the other hand, at 63-52, leads the NL
West by a game over second-place Los Angeles.
Ryan Vogelsong (10-5, 2.27) will start Monday's series
opener for the Giants vs. lefty Gio Gonzalez (14-6, 3.32) for the Nats.
Vogelsong is a sparkling 18-for-21 on quality starts this
season, and 12 for his last 13. His last time out, Vogelsong held St. Louis
scoreless on three hits through seven innings of a 15-0 San Francisco whitewash.
And since the All-Star break, Vogelsong has given up only seven earned runs through
32 1/3 innings.
It's almost hard to believe, but this will be Vogelsong's
first-ever start vs. the Nationals.
On the other side of this pitcher's duel, Gonzalez is
14-for-23 on quality starts this season, but only three-for-six since the
All-Star break. Most recently, Gonzalez tossed a complete game vs. Houston,
allowing three runs on nine hits in a 4-3 Nationals victory. But over his last
three starts, he's given up 11 earned runs on 23 hits in 23 innings.
Gonzalez hasn't faced San Francisco this season; last year,
pitching for Oakland, Gonzo started once against the Giants, and held them to
one ER on eight hits through 6 2/3 innings.
Washington is 17-6 in games Gonzalez has started this
season, while San Fran is 15-6 in games started by Vogelsong.
Monday's Betting Odds
As of early Monday morning, most MLB odds makers were
listing San Francisco at around -125 for Monday night's game, with an
OVER/UNDER of 6.5.
Early betting on Monday's game has seen action on the side
split just about right down the middle, while 55 percent of play on the total
has come in on the OVER.
The Nationals are a ML-best 39-22 on the road this season,
while the Giants are 34-24 at home.
In the only previous meeting this season between these teams, the Nats swept three games from the Giants in DC back in early July by scores
of 9-3, 9-4 and 6-5.
On the MLB futures betting market 5Dimes is listing
Washington at +330 to win the National League pennant this fall, with San Fran
The Giants lineup might get a boost Monday as IF Pablo
Sandoval, who's missed the last few weeks with a bad hamstring, is eligible to
come off the DL.
Washington, meanwhile, has been playing without SS Ian
Desmond, but they've managed to go 17-5 without him.
Free MLB Pick
This is a tough one.
Monday gives us a great pitching matchup to play with, and we'll be staying up
late to watch. And while we admire what Gonzalez has done this season for the
Nats, we're big fans of Vogelsong. So we're going to lay the short price Monday
and back the Giants.