Dillon Gee is 10-3 for the Mets and leads all National League rookies in wins while Ian Kennedy is having a great year for the Diamondbacks at 14-3. Take the ‘under’ in Arizona on Friday night.
Runs should be hard to come by when two fine young pitchers square off in one of the MLB matchups on Friday night when Dillon Gee and the New York Mets (58-59 overall, 33-27 away) travel into the desert to take on Ian Kennedy and the Arizona Diamondbacks (65-53 overall, 33-26 home) as the teams begin a three-game weekend series at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ at 9:40 ET.
The Mets actually have a better record on the road than they have at home, and that fine road play is a key reason why they are surprisingly only one game below .500 at this late stage of the season. The New Yorkers still trail the Philadelphia Phillies by 19 games despite being in third place in the National League East, and they trail the Atlanta Braves by 10½ games in the wild card race.
The Diamondbacks can also be considered a pleasant surprise after a dismal season a year ago, as they have now taken over the division lead in the National League West by one game over the World Champion San Francisco Giants, thanks to Arizona’s dramatic extra-inning win over the Houston Astros on Thursday where Paul Goldschmidt tied the game with a two-run home run with two outs in the ninth inning and Chris Young won it with a three-run blast in extras.
We are not looking for that many fireworks in this game tonight however.
The posted total on this contest is 8½, with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +105.
Gee leads all National League rookie pitchers in wins with his 10-3 record, and the Mets as a team are a remarkable 13-5 in the games that Gee has started. The rookie has a 3.93 ERA, but he has pitched better than that as evidenced by his good 1.23 WHIP and by the league hitting only .223 off of him.
Now Gee did give up five earned runs on six hits and three walks in five innings in his last start vs. the Atlanta Braves on Sunday, but he has yet to allow more than three earned runs in back-to-back outings this season, so he should bounce back from that bad effort just fine. In fact, Gee has allowed three earned runs or less in 13 of his 18 starts this season. He also pitched well in his only start vs. Arizona, allowing two earned runs on five hits in six innings with five strikeouts.
Now to be outdone, Kennedy has one of the best winning percentages in baseball with his 14-3 mark, and the Diamondbacks as a team are a phenomenal 17-7 in his 24 starts! Kennedy has a nice 3.20 ERA and a great 1.10 WHIP in 163.1 innings with the league hitting only .230 against him, and he has had great command with 137 strikeouts vs. 42 walks.
Kennedy has reeled off six consecutive Quality Starts, and he now has 17 such outings in his 24 total starts while allowing more than three earned runs only five times.
Look for an ‘under’ in the desert in this battle of young guns on Friday night.
MLB Pick: Mets, Diamondbacks ‘under’ 8½ (+105)