Day games at Miller Park in Milwaukee are generally unkind to pitchers, and with A.J. Burnett and Dave Bush on the mound, the Blue Jays and Brewers should go over.
Toronto's A.J. Burnett is one of those Dr. Jekyll/Mr. Hyde type pitchers. Lately he's been a lot more Hyde. Burnett has been tagged for 10 earned runs and 14 hits in his past two starts, spanning just 9.1 innings.
Just as ominious is Burnett has issued eight walks during this time frame, while throwing 211 pitches.
Milwaukee ranks among the top five clubs in home runs. The Brewers are averaging 5.8 runs during their last nine home games. A day game at Miller Park isn't usually a pleasant afternoon for hurlers.
Toronto, though, should be able to score frequently against Milwaukee starter David Bush, who has been so ineffective this season that he was sent to the minors for a spell. Bush is 2-7 with a 5.73 ERA.
Brewers closer Salomon Torres could be fatigued after picking up a tough save last night by going 1.1 innings. Guillermo Mota, the Brewers' top setup man, had a rough eighth inning last night. It's certainly not asking much for each team to score four runs.
Free Pick: Blue Jays-Brewers Over 8½ (+105)