Grass of AT&T Park is the host tonight as the Giants and the
Dbacks square off. Right handers Ian Kennedy and Tim Lincecum take to the mound
with MLB odds makers setting the Giants as -182 favorties.
Current Record: 22-9
+13.32 units
MLB free pick on the San Francisco Giants as they take on the
Arizona Diamondbacks set to start at 10:30 PM ET.
The Giants put the National League West on notice completing an
impressive sweep of the division leading Colorado Rockies over the past
weekend. They did it with impressive pitching and timely hitting mirroring
their style of play that carried them to the World Championship last season.
Moreover, the sweep was attained without a contribution from ace starter Tim
Lincecum, who will be starting this game tonight.
The Giants now trail the Rockies by just 1 1/5 games in the
National League West. The Giants have won three straight and six of the past 10
games while the Rockies have struggled winning just three games in the past 10
games.
Rankings and Stats
The season has progressed past the first 30 games and the team
statistics now have greater validity and meaning. Arizona has a decent offense,
ranking seventh in offensive scoring at 4.67 runs per game. The Giants however
have struggled offensively and rank 27th averaging 3.53 runs per game. Arizona
has had some timely hitting. They rank just 16th in hits per game averaging
8.39 hits. The Giants are not getting those key hits yet and rank 23rd
averaging 7.94 hits per game. Moreover, Arizona ranks sixth in total bases per
game at 14.30 bases. By comparison the Giants rank 24th averaging 12.29 total
bases per game. Arizona does have the better offense, but this is the era of
the pitcher and this where the Giants have vast advantage over the Dbacks.
The Pitching Staffs
The Giants rank sixth best sporting a 3.26 earned run average and
have posted a 1.33 ERA spanning the past three games. By comparison Arizona
ranks 26th posting a 4.45 ERA for the season. The Giants have the sixth best
bullpen posting a 2.76 ERA and rank second best allowing a .202 opponent
batting average. In stark contrast the Diamondbacks rank 16th posting a 3.26
ERA and rank 18th, allowing a .242 opponent batting average.
Although the starters are known for extended starts it will be the Giants
bullpen that will secure the win tonight.
Simulator Projections and
Supporting System
My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a
high probability that the Giants will win tonight. Supporting this graded play
is a system that has produced a record of 38-7 making 26.6 units per one unit
wagered for 84.4% winners since 1997. Play on all favorites with a money line of -150 or more
on the MLB odds board and is a struggling NL hitting team batting .255 or less and now facing a team
with a very good bullpen sporting an ERA of 3.33 less and with a starting
pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start. Lincecum needs no
introduction and I strongly believe he will dominate the Diamondbacks lineup
for a minimum of seven innings.
Take
the San Francisco Giants.