There have been some surprises after little more than a month of play. The Dodgers are 19-10 and lead the NL West by five games over the second place Giants while the Phillies languish at the bottom of the NL East.
The Nationals are off to a great
start with an 18-10 record, trailing the Dodgers by just ½ game for the best
record in the National League. They have a five-game lead over last place
Philadelphia in the NL East standings, and it is quite surprising to see the
Phillies with a 14-16 record. Still, they had a similar start in 2008 when they
won the World Series.
The St. Louis Cardinals, who lost
one of the best players in MLB history to free agency, were regarded as in the
midst of a rebuilding process for the 2012 season. Yet, they have bounced back
and have an 18-11 record for third best record in the NL. They lead the NL
Central by 2 1/2 games over the Cincinnati Reds.
Scoring Differential
Of the 16 teams in the NL, there are just six that have outscored their opponents this season. St. Louis
leads by a wide margin in this category out scoring their opponents by 65 total
runs. Second best is the Atlanta Braves with a +23 runs differential, third
best is the LA Dodgers posting a +20 scoring differential. Fourth best are the
Washington Nationals outscoring their opponents by 14 runs and then both the
Reds and surprise Houston Astros posting a +10 run differential.
In preseason reports, Milwaukee
was the pick to win the Central Division but currently are in fifth place with a
12-17 record and getting outscored by a league-worst 34 runs on the season.
Offensive Production Down
Simply stated, it is amazing to
me the number of AAA caliber players batting in the Majors in 2012. Only three
teams in the NL are batting over .260 with the Cardinals at .285, the Braves at
.269, and the Mets at .262 for the season. There are 11 teams batting .240 or worse
for the season and six of them are in the National League. The Oakland A’s are
batting a horrific .213 as a team.
Washington Nationals
The Washington Nationals are
struggling offensively, batting .238 for the season and just .217 in road games.
They will not be able to hold on to the division lead if they continue to bat
this poorly. Moreover, they have lost Jayson Werth to injury and their
offensive production is weakened further by his loss. The Nationals rank 28th
with 96 runs scored, 23rd with a .238 team batting average, 16th with a .312
on-base-percentage, and 26th with a .353 slugging percentage.
Although their pitching staff is the best
in baseball, I do not see them maintaining this level of excellence
over a 162-game season. They were exposed Sunday night when the Phillies drubbed
them 9-3 with one of their best starters in Zimmerman on the hill. Their
bullpen will steadily become suspect as the season wears on. Yet, right now,
you have to be impressed with their top rankings in the four major pitching
categories with a 2.59 ERA, 22 quality starts, 1.10 WHIP, and .213 opponent
batting average.
I think the more alarming development
in the National League is the near complete power outage in games played to
date. Seven of the bottom eight teams in home runs per game are from the
National League. The Padres are dead last in the majors, hitting just 0.40
home runs per game. By comparison, the Yankees are best in the majors, hitting
1.35 home runs per game, and St. Louis is best in the NL and fifth in the majors
averaging 1.28 home runs per game. Only four NL teams rank in the Top-12 in
home runs per game in the majors.
So, pitching will keep the
Philadelphia Phillies in contention and will keep them in the large majority of
games simply because the opposing offenses are weak and can be dominated
by all five Philadelphia starters. Joe Blanton, the fifth starter for
Philadelphia, threw his first complete game shutout since 2006 just last week.
Team Money Stats
The Dodgers have been the best
money producer in the NL this season, making 822 with their 19-12 record. These
stats presume a 100 unit wager in every game played. Washington has rewarded
their backers, making 654 units with their 18-10 record for the season. These
teams, however, having been losing bets in road games with the Dodgers posting
a -94 unit result and an 8-8 road record. The Nationals have lost 58 units with
6-6 road mark.
Major League Baseball Money Statistics
|
|
Team
|
SeasonRecord
|
Money
Made
|
Home
|
Home Money Won
|
Road
Record
|
Road Money Won
|
O-U
|
|
1
|
Baltimore
|
19-10
|
1342
|
8-5
|
312
|
11-5
|
1030
|
13-15
|
|
2
|
Tampa Bay
|
19-10
|
860
|
13-3
|
837
|
6-7
|
23
|
13-14
|
|
3
|
LA Dodgers
|
19-10
|
822
|
11-2
|
916
|
8-8
|
-94
|
13-14
|
|
4
|
Cleveland
|
17-11
|
720
|
8-8
|
14
|
9-3
|
706
|
13-15
|
|
5
|
Washington
|
18-10
|
654
|
12-4
|
712
|
6-6
|
-58
|
11-17
|
|
6
|
NY Mets
|
16-13
|
512
|
10-6
|
414
|
6-7
|
98
|
15-13
|
|
7
|
Texas
|
19-10
|
493
|
8-5
|
36
|
11-5
|
457
|
10-17
|
|
8
|
Oakland
|
15-14
|
475
|
6-7
|
-165
|
9-7
|
640
|
10-18
|
|
9
|
St. Louis
|
18-11
|
459
|
8-4
|
216
|
10-7
|
243
|
15-14
|
|
10
|
Atlanta
|
18-12
|
291
|
8-5
|
107
|
10-7
|
184
|
16-12
|
|
11
|
Houston
|
13-16
|
98
|
9-7
|
412
|
4-9
|
-314
|
21-8
|
|
12
|
Toronto
|
16-13
|
81
|
8-7
|
-126
|
8-6
|
207
|
15-13
|
|
13
|
Cincinnati
|
15-13
|
67
|
8-6
|
39
|
7-7
|
28
|
11-16
|
|
14
|
Pittsburgh
|
12-16
|
-24
|
6-6
|
106
|
6-10
|
-130
|
7-19
|
|
15
|
Seattle
|
14-17
|
-28
|
6-7
|
-207
|
8-10
|
179
|
14-17
|
|
16
|
Miami
|
15-14
|
-137
|
6-5
|
-192
|
9-9
|
55
|
13-15
|
|
17
|
Arizona
|
14-16
|
-152
|
6-8
|
-322
|
8-8
|
170
|
17-12
|
|
18
|
Chi. Cubs
|
12-17
|
-174
|
8-9
|
-8
|
4-8
|
-166
|
12-16
|
|
19
|
San Francisco
|
14-15
|
-175
|
8-7
|
-3
|
6-8
|
-172
|
13-15
|
|
20
|
NY Yankees
|
15-13
|
-256
|
7-6
|
-276
|
8-7
|
20
|
12-15
|
|
21
|
Chi. White Sox
|
13-17
|
-426
|
5-9
|
-491
|
8-8
|
65
|
13-16
|
|
22
|
Colorado
|
12-16
|
-490
|
8-10
|
-278
|
4-6
|
-212
|
15-12
|
|
23
|
Detroit
|
14-14
|
-514
|
9-9
|
-483
|
5-5
|
-31
|
11-16
|
|
24
|
Kansas City
|
9-19
|
-652
|
2-13
|
-1114
|
7-6
|
462
|
13-14
|
|
25
|
Philadelphia
|
14-16
|
-706
|
5-6
|
-474
|
9-10
|
-232
|
17-13
|
|
26
|
Boston
|
12-16
|
-721
|
4-10
|
-875
|
8-6
|
154
|
18-9
|
|
27
|
Milwaukee
|
12-17
|
-856
|
6-7
|
-365
|
6-10
|
-491
|
17-11
|
|
28
|
San Diego
|
10-20
|
-930
|
8-13
|
-442
|
2-7
|
-488
|
13-15
|
|
29
|
LA Angels
|
13-17
|
-1063
|
9-8
|
-412
|
4-9
|
-651
|
10-20
|
|
30
|
Minnesota
|
7-21
|
-1078
|
3-9
|
-522
|
4-12
|
-556
|
15-13
|