The Mets and Phillies have picked up right where they left
off in 2010. Philadelphia
and New York
halved their 18 meetings a season ago, and they've opened
this year by splitting the first two head-to-head battles of 2011.
Thursday's rubber game of a three-game set strongly favors
the Philadelphia Phillies, however.
Openers at the MLB betting window were as high -240 on the
Phils and their ace Roy Halladay. Dog catchers
showed up early to grab the Mets and Jonathon Niese in the mid-afternoon start
(3:05 PM), driving Philly's chalk down to -200 and lower.
The total was set at 7.5, the juice mixed O/U at various
offshore sportsbooks.
Both teams find themselves in familiar territory as far as
the MLB odds are concerned. Thursday's
battle marks the sixth time in six games the Mets have been road dogs this
season, with Philly riding home chalk for a sixth time in the 2011 season. It has worked to advantage of Mets backers so
far.
New York
pasted a 7-1 loss on Philly in Tuesday's series opener as a +170 underdog
before suffering a 10-7 loss in Game 2 on Wednesday getting +130 on the MLB
moneyline. Bettors on the Mets this
season are already up a cool two units and change despite the modest 3-2
record.
Betting the dog in this series a year ago also left a black
mark on the ledger. More times than not,
that meant placing a wager on the Mets who drew the chalk line just twice in 18
of the games played between the two clubs in 2010. New
York's 9-9 split vs. the Phils produced a return of
2.1 units.
Four times that a dog play on the Mets didn't work came when
facing Halladay. Burdened with odds
ranging from -195 to -220 in his four starts vs. the Mets, Doc won all four, covering
the run line three of the four games while Philly outscored New York 28-9 in
the matchups.
Halladay struck out 28 Mets hitters while walking just two
in those games. Going back to his days
with the Blue Jays, Halladay is 6-2 in eight career starts versus the New York Mets.
Niese is facing a tall task to deliver a win in this game,
and that's not a reference to Halladay's 6-6 height. He'll need to pitch at least as well as he
did in the Mets' second game of the season, a 6-4 New York
win in 10 innings at Florida. Niese didn't decision, but tossed seven strong
innings while allowing just two runs on four hits.
The lefthander faced the Phils three times in 2010, winning
one, losing another and picking up a no-decision in the third which the Mets
lost. He worked seven innings in each
outing, allowing just five earned runs in all.
Two of the assignments were at Citizens Bank
Park where he pitched 14
frames and allowed just two earned runs.
Philadelphia heads out
following this game for its first road trip this season, a six-game trek that
will first stop in Atlanta for the weekend
followed by three in Washington
DC.
The Mets will return to the Big Apple for their first home
action of the year, starting with the Nationals on Friday who will be trailed into
Queens by the Rockies for a four-game set
beginning next Monday.