The Atlanta Braves will turn to Tim Hudson in today's rubber game against the New York Mets. Each team has grabbed a win in this three game series, with Mets winning yesterday's match as the under dogs.

Tim HudsonThe New York Mets evened their weekend home set against the Atlanta Braves with Saturday’s 5-0 win as 106 home dogs.  Mets slugger Jose Reyes cracked a three-run triple in the seventh inning, while relievers Pedro Beato and Tim Brydak allowed no hits in the final two frames. 

Today’s finale has two right-handed starters slated to square off, with Atlanta’s Tim Hudson (4-4, 3.75 ERA) opposing New York’s R.A. Dickey (2-6, 4.39 ERA).  MLB odds opened Hudson as a 140 road favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at seven. 

Hudson logged a no-decision in Monday’s 3-2 extra-inning defeat for Atlanta as a 166 home favorite against the San Diego Padres.  The 13-year veteran allowed one earned run in six frames (93 pitches), while notching seven strikeouts. 

Braves catcher Brian McCann poked two doubles en route to a 3-for-5 night, bringing in mate Martin Prado for both of his squad’s runs.  Prado finished 1-for-5, with a double being the outfielder’s sole hit. 

The tight battle’s combined five runs dipped below the ‘total’ of seven.  Braves reliever George Sherrill picked up the loss, giving up a 10th-inning solo-shot homer to San Diego’s Kyle Phillips. 

Atlanta is 15-14 in its first 29 road games, with the ‘under’ going 14-12-3.  Hudson is 2-2 in his four road outings, with a 1.22 WHIP and .324 OBP. 

Dickey suffered his third loss in five starts with Tuesday’s 5-1 setback for New York against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  The 36-year-old gave up three runs in 7 2/3 innings (108 pitches), while logging 10 strikeouts. 

Mets outfielder Angel Pagan hit his second double of the year en route to a 2-for-4 night.  Pagan’s mate Jason Bay went 1-for-4, giving his squad an early 1-0 lead with its sole RBI. 

The contest’s combined six runs ducked ‘under’ the ‘total’ of 7 ½.  New York was edged out in hits, 7-6, while a late error from shortstop Ruben Tejada led to two insurance runs for Pittsburgh. 

The Mets are 14-17 in their first 31 home dates, with the ‘over’ going 18-11-2.  Dickey is 0-5 in his six home starts, with a sizable 1.50 WHIP and .358 OBP. 

Today's Matchup

Jose Reyes Mets MLBSunday’s first pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. (ET), with the weather forecast at Citi Field calling for a 67-degree night and calm winds.  Umpire Fieldin Culbreth is listed for his 13th outing behind home plate, with MLB bets cashing with the ‘over’  7-5 times in his prior 12 called games. 

I am backing the Braves and Hudson, looking for the road ‘chalk’ to cash.  Early betting action on New York has lowered the premium to minus 125 at most MLB betting outlets, which improves value from the opening lines

Atlanta went 3-1 in Hudson’s four starts against the Mets last season.  The three-time All-Star allowed just six runs in that span’s combined 27 innings. 

Dickey’s three outings against New York last year did not go as well, going 0-2 along with one no-decision.  The Tennessee native was shelled for 24 hits over a combined 18 2/3 IP. 

The Braves also have the edge in relief pitching, with their bullpen allowing .209 hitting and ranked the second stingiest in the National League (2.54 ERA).  New York’s relievers have allowed a more sizable 4.24 ERA and .256 BA. 

Atlanta has also shown it can bounce back from recent defeats, going 4-1 in its last five games that followed a loss.  The Braves should also fare better facing Dickey, cashing at 5-2 in their last seven outings against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

My Pick: I'm backing the Braves