Tim Lincecum vs. Cole Hamels as Phillies host the Giants

By: | www.sbrforum.com
Cole Hamels is set to take the mound for the Phillies tonight, but the big question is "who will the Giants Play?" Tim Lincecum failed to start last night due to an illness, but will he be fit to play tonight?

San Francisco Giants manager Bruce Bochy hopes to have a healthy Tim Lincecum on the mound tonight when his club continues its series with the Philadelphia Phillies. But just in case Lincecum can't make it once again, Bochy has a better backup option than he did for Tuesday's series opener. 

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Lincecum was scheduled to start Game 1 but was bumped due to the flu. He will reportedly give it a go Wednesday and if he's still feeling the effects of the illness, Matt Cain will step up to replace him when the Giants battle Cole Hamels and the Phils on ESPN (7:00 PM ET). 

The pitching uncertainty has the game off the board at MLB betting shops. Lincecum was originally a +100 underdog to Vance Worley and the Phillies on Tuesday, so we can expect to see him or Cain around +110 to +115 with the Phillies 120-130 chalk on the MLB odds boards. 

Also expect a 6.5 to 7-run total once that's released. 

Who will take the mound?

Barry Zito, who was supposed to start this game, replaced Lincecum (8-8, 2.90) on Tuesday and immediately got into trouble. The Phillies plated four runs in the bottom of the first and never looked back en route to a 7-2 win. The victory was Philadelphia's ninth in 11 Vance Worley starts and left Charlie Manuel's club an MLB-best 38-16 in front of the home crowd. 

Assuming Lincecum is 100% tonight, Bochy can't go wrong starting either him or Cain (8-6, 3.06). Lincecum has pitched really well his last seven assignments with a sub-2.00 ERA in that span and only one home run allowed in 44 innings. 

Unfortunately for Lincecum, that home run cost him his last start in a 1-0 home loss to Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers who were +110 on the MLB money line. The Giants lineup has failed to show up and support Lincecum during the recent stretch with the club winning just three of the seven starts. 

Thanks to Monday's day off that the team spent hobnobbing with President Obama, Matt Cain will be pitching on his normal rest if he takes the mound. The team's offensive struggles have also cost him a few extra wins; like Lincecum's recent record, San Francisco is just 3-4 in Cain's last seven starts (1.95 ERA). 

Cole Hamels LincecumHamels (12-5, 2.62) last saw action against the Padres, shutting down the San Diego lineup down with an 8-inning, 3-hit, 10-strikeout performance at home this past Friday. A native of San Diego himself, Hamels was -185 chalk in that game which marked his third win in four July starts. The Phillies are 14-7 with him on the hill this season.

Hamels saw the Giants three times last year, twice in the regular season and once in the NLCS. The Phillies lost the regular season start here at CBP, Hamels charged with five runs in five innings. The postseason defeat, 3-0, came against Cain as a -115 favorite in Game 3 of the National League Championship Series at AT&T Park

Cody Ross, the MVP of last year's NLCS, has poked four homers off Hamels with a .300 batting average (9-for-30), and the Giants are a healthy 19-8 vs. southpaws in 2011. 

The series draws to a close Thursday with Cain or possibly Lincecum again scheduled to start for the Giants and the Phillies countering with Kyle Kendrick. Warm and humid weather is expected in Philadelphia each of the next two days with little or no chance of rain.


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