Each team hjas had their little offensive explosion, and now it's time for this series to return to form. Play the Under today when the Cavaliers meet the Wizards.
After uncharacteristic splurges by both teams (Cleveland 116 in Game 2 and Washington 108 in Game 3), look for today's game to more closely resembling Game 1, a 93-86 Cleveland win.
We're not saying the Cavs are going to win this one, although that's the way we lean. We're saying that defense will rule the court today on both sides and a grueling, low-scoring battle will emerge. The Cavs have held Washington to 86 twice and the Wizards held Cleveland to 72 in the last meeting.
There is a nice grinder angle working here, too. When any playoff team is held to less than 75 and the Over/Under in its next game is higher than 177, the Under shows up more than 62% of the time. It's certainly worth a try here.
Prediction: Total Points Scored = 178
Free Pick: Cavaliers-Wizards Under 189½ (-105)