No way the Nuggets should be laying this many points to a hot Rockets group. Take the points and Houston on Monday when they pay a visit to the Pepsi Center in Denver.
Denver is sure to be fired-up returning home after suffering a 114-106 road loss on Sunday to the lowly Sacramento Kings. But are the Nuggets worthy of laying this many points to such a quality opponent?
Denver is not playing well, having lost seven of their past 10 games. The Nuggets have failed to cover in four of the past five times they've been favored.
Houston is 10-2 in its last 12 games. The Rockets are battling for a high playoff seeding. They also played on Sunday, but had no trouble dispatching a bad Memphis Grizzlies team. No Houston player went more than 33 minutes.
By contrast, Denver had four players that logged more than 36 minutes on Sunday. Veteran Chauncey Billups played 43:36. Carmelo Anthony and Nene Hilario each played close to 39 minutes. Streak shooter J.R. Smith went more than 36 minutes.
This marks Denver's fourth game in five days. The Nuggets just got into town following two consecutive road games, so it's not a good situational spot for them. This is a one-unit play for me.
Free Pick: Rockets +4 (-110)
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