Tonight the Houston Rockets travel to the Wells Fargo Center to take on the Philadelphia 76ers. NBA odds makers have the Sixers as three point favorites.

Season record (37-28-1 ATS for 57% ATS winners)

NBA free pick on the Philadelphia 76ers as they take on the Houston Rockets in NBA action set to start at 7:00 PM ET.

The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off their biggest win of the season defeating the Eastern Conference leading Chicago Bulls on the road 97-85 installed as 10 1/2 point dogs. Houston is fighting desperately to catch Memphis for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. 

Eastern Conference Playoff race

A 76er win or a Charlotte loss will secure a 76er playoff spot. With eight games remaining it is a lock that the 76ers are in the playoffs. It is nearly equally certain that they will finish sixth in the Eastern Conference and will be face the three seed in the first round of the playoffs. That opponent will be either the Boston Celtics or the Miami Heat. Boston trails Chicago by two games and Miami by 2 1/2 games. No top seeded Eastern Conference team wants to play the 76ers, who have played extraordinarily well over the past month.

Western Conference Playoff race

The Western Conference is nearly set with San Antonio hanging on to a 3 1/2 game lead over the Los Angeles Lakers and a 4 1/2 game lead over the Dallas Mavericks. The lone remaining  spot is whether Houston can erase a two game deficit to Memphis with just eight games remaining to the regular season.

Houston took care of business last night as our 5* winner defeating the New Jersey Nets soundly by the score of 112-87, but now must face the 76ers tonight. Memphis will be playing Golden State and are heavy favorites to win. A combination of the expected Rocket loss and a Memphis win would put the final nail in the coffin for the Rockets and their slim playoff hopes.

Game Situations and Simulator Projections

The simulator shows high probabilities that Philadelphia will get between 53 and 57 rebounds in this game, will shoot around 50% for the game, and will score between 105 to 109 points. In past games the 76ers have done very well achieving these performance marks while the Rockets have failed miserably. Note that Philadelphia is 15-4 ATS making 10.6 units per one unit wagered when they grab 53 to 57 rebounds in a game this season; 28-9 ATS making 18.1 units per one unit wagered when they score 105 to 109 points in a game over the last three seasons. Houston is 80-150 ATS losing 85.0 units per one unit wagered when their opponents make 48% to 51% of their shots in a game since 1996.

Take Philadelphia