Knicks vs. Nuggets NBA pick

By: | www.sbrforum.com

For the first time since last February's trade, the Denver Nuggets will face the New York Knicks and Carmelo Anthony, the face-of-the-franchise forward who forced Denver to trade him to New York but it has not been a fairytale journey for 'melo. 


The Nuggets are likely to find Anthony in a surly mood when they take the court at Madison Square Garden for the 7:30 PM ET clash. ‘Melo’s team has lost five straight and six of seven and are hearing from the boo birds on a nightly basis and for good reason. The Knicks aren’t just losing on the court, but are costing their gambling faithful almost nightly losses. New York is the worst ATS team in the league (3-12) and not surprisingly is a -1 point home underdog in the NBA odds with the total at 206.5.

The Knicks (6-9 SU) suffered their sixth loss in seven games dropping a 100-86 decision to the Milwaukee Bucks last night. Brandon Jennings scored 36 points for the Bucks who snapped an eight-game road losing streak and a three-game overall skid. For Jennings it was a night of payback for a perceived draft slight in 2009, when New York passed him by with the 8th overall pick selecting Jordan Hill instead. Hill’s time in the Big Apple wasn’t long. He was traded in 2010 to the Rockets for Tracy McGrady in one of many ill-fated moves by the Knicks front office.

Arron AffaloCarmelo Anthony led New York with 35 points before being ejected late after receiving his second technical foul for some back and forth with Jennings. Amar'e Stoudemire chipped in with 15 for NY which shot just 37 percent in the game and have now been held below 100 points in seven straight outings. During their losing streak ‘Melo and company are averaging just 88.4 points. Milwaukee has now won 11 of 13 meetings with New York, taking three of four last season 

Perfect road trip

The Nuggets (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS) are now 3-0 on their East Coast swing after beating the Wizards in Washington 108-104. Al Harrington who scored a game-high 29 points was 5 of 8 from beyond the arc including a crucial 3-ball with just over a minute to play. Ty Lawson and Danilo Gallinari added 21 points apiece to help Denver record its fifth victory in six games.

Stat sheet

Denver is second in the league in both scoring (104.6 points per game) and field goal percentage (48.4). Defensively they’re 26th in the NBA in scoring (99.1 points per game) and 23rd in shooting (45.8 percent).

Lawson leads the team in scoring (16.4 ppg) and assists (6.7 apg) while Harrington leads in rebounding and shooting percentage.

New York’s recent swoon has seen it drop to 17th in both scoring offense (93 ppg) and defense (95.3 ppg). The Knicks are 28th in field-goal percentage (41.0) and from 26th from 3-point land (30.4).

Anthony leads the Knicks in most of the major offensive categories. He’s scoring a team high 25.7 points per game which is 4th best in the NBA and also leads NY in assists and field goal percentage. Tyson Chandler sets the pace in the rebounding department (9.3 rbg) and in blocked shots. Stoudemire has been mostly a scorer with 18.1 points per night.

Trends

Denver is 22-6 ATS in its last 28 road games but is just 4-11 against teams from the NBA Atlantic Division.

New York is 1-7 ATS this season and 3-13 in its last 16 games overall. The ‘under’ has been a profitable play with the Knicks going 7-1 to the low side in their last eight outings. The ‘over’ is 4-2 in the last six series meetings.

Harvey’s Take: The Knicks scrapped a pretty big portion of their roster last year to get Anthony from the Nuggets and the deal has worked out great—for Denver. New York doesn’t have near the depth that’s needed to compete with the big boys or even a hungry, deep and well coached team like the Nuggets. I love Denver and they get my money in tonight's NBA picks.

Good luck!


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