NBA Pick: Lakers & Magic to go 'Under'

By: | www.sbrforum.com
Two of the NBA’s premier big men collide tonight when Dwight Howard and the Orlando Magic host Andrew Bynum and the Los Angeles Lakers in Orlando. Tip-off is slated for 8:00 PM ET at the Amway Center.

Sports betting shops opened with the Magic favored to deal the Lakers a second straight Florida defeat.

Kobe BryantThe Los Angeles Lakers (10-6 SU, 7-9 ATS) dropped a 98-87 decision to the Miami Heat last night. Despite experiencing flu-like symptoms earlier in the day, LeBron James played and played well scoring a game high 31 points. The Lakers ‘Big Three’ of Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Bynum combined for 65 points with Gasol getting 26 of those.

Bryant suffered another cold shooting night, going 8 for 21 from the field while Bynum had a tidy 15 points and 12 rebounds. The Lakers also suffered a setback at the betting window failing to cover, despite getting +5.5 points.

The Lakers have now lost four straight to the Heat and are 1-7 in their last eight games in Miami. LA is also a dismal 1-5 SU on the road.

Last add Bryant. He’s now 15 of 43 from the field in his last two games.

The Orlando Magic (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS) are coming off an 85-83 overtime loss to the Spurs on Wednesday. Howard had a huge double-double with 24 points and 25 rebounds including nine on the offensive end. Ryan Anderson added 17 for Orlando which failed to cover as a -7 point favorite. The combined 168 points stay well ‘under’ the total of 192. It marked the sixth time in seven home games that the Magic have played to the low side.

Present and Future

When the Lakers and Magic take the court tonight the Magic's current center (Howard) could be facing the Magic's center of the future (Bynum).

The Magic and Dwight Howard must make choices about their futures in the weeks ahead and those decisions could very well affect the Lakers and Bynum.

Dwight HowardMagic officials say nothing has changed regarding Howard's long-term future. The team still wants to re-sign him for the long term, but the trade request Howard made in December still stands.

If Howard's mind does not change between now and the trade deadline, the Magic would take an enormous gamble if they hold onto him past March 15. Howard could opt out of the final year of his deal in July and become a free agent.

Matchup

Most NBA experts say that while Bynum is a very good player who is improving, he’s simply not on Howard's level. The numbers indicate that at least this season, LA’s young center is holding his own against Superman.

Bynum is averaging 16.8 points and 13.9 rebounds and leads the Lakers in field goal percentage (52.9) and blocked shots. Howard’s numbers are slightly better; he’s averaging 20.1 points and 15.6 rebounds per outing. The caveat is that Howard is Orlando’s number one scoring option and he gets more ‘touches’ per game than Bynum, who is the third option for LA behind Kobe and Gasol.

Hey there, you’re an All-Star

Howard continues to lead the NBA in All-Star balloting with more than 1.1 million votes. Bryant is second in the overall voting. Bynum leads Western Division centers in the voting by a healthy margin over the Clippers’ DeAndre Jordan.

Trends

The visiting team is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 series meetings and the Lakers are 5-1-1 in their last seven games against the Magic.

The ‘under’ is 9-1 and 6-0 in the last 10 series meetings.

Harvey’s Take: It’s a tough spot for the Lakers who played last night while the Magic rested. It looks like the perfect situation for another ‘under’. That’s my NBA pick tonight.

Good luck!


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