Two Mother's Day matchups for us to watch between the Clippers and the Grizzlies early and the Pacers versus the Heat to follow.

Clippers at Grizzlies

It's a game 7 matchup and the winner advances while the loser goes on vacation.  Memphis is trying to make a rare come from behind sweep, only eight teams have rallied from a 3-1 deficit, and are now looking to win for the third straight game against an LA team that seems to be lacking the ability to finish.  Unlike last season, when the Grizzlies lost in the seventh game of the Western Conference semifinals to the Oklahoma City Thunder, this seventh game will be on their home court. 

The Grizzlies went on a 17-4 run in the 4th quarter of their 90-88 road victory over the Clippers to ensure there would be a Game 7.  The key to the Grizzlies success is their scoring in the paint.  Friday night Gasol led his team with 23 points while teammate Zach Randolph banged the boards with 16 rebounds.  Memphis dropped the first game of the series at home by one point when they bowed 99-98 as 5 point favorites.  However, in their next two games at home the Grizzlies won 105-98 and then 92-80. 

Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, the two Clipper superstars, are nursing injuries and that must be factored into the equation when evaluating this crucial final game.  Memphis can dictate the pace of this game if they continue to drive to the hoop and limit the Clippers perimeter shooting. 

 

Pacers at Heat

Before the series commences, David Stern will hand the Most Valuable Player trophy to Lebron James and the Miami Heat crowd will undoubtedly express their approval with wild cheering and chants of "MVP."  But will they be cheering when the final buzzer sounds?

The Pacers dropped their first three games to Miami this season but doused the Heat in their last matchup with a 105-90 victory on March 26th as 3.5 point underdogs.  The Pacers got better as the season progressed.  Since April 1st the Heat has gone 16-4 including playoff games, trailing only San Antonio's 18-2 mark during that time period.  Indiana's front line of Danny Granger, David West and Roy Hibbert will be the biggest obstacles for the Heat to contend with.  This is a very big lineup that plays physical in the paint and bangs the glass with impunity.  While Miami is a razzle dazzle show time heart stopper, the Pacers are more of lunch pail crew that gets the job done.  The Pacers swept the Magic in the first round while the Miami defeated the Knicks in five games.

NBA Parlay

The Grizzlies are my play (and just about everyone elses) in the early game as the Clippers are the walking wounded and Memphis is playing with more confidence and will no doubt be bolstered by a frenzied home crowd.  I expect Memphis to have the lead at the half and win this game going away.  If LA is to have any chance Blake Griffin will have to do it all by himself as I believe the Grizzlies can contain Paul from the perimeter.

The Pacers present a difficult matchup for the Heat and though I highly doubt the Pacers will win this opening game in Miami, I do believe the oddsmakers are being too generous in this one.  If Dwayne Wade is not hitting his outside shot and the perimeter shooting goes cold, this could be a nail biter down the stretch.  Indiana is a big physical team who has already expressed their concern that their adversaries will flop their way on to the charity stripe all game long. 

My NBA Parlay therefore is Grizzlies -7 and the Pacers +8 ½