This total is set about seven points higher than the previous two meetings between the Hornets and Kings, giving the Under some extra value at Sacramento's Arco Arena.
Arco Arena will be the site of tonight’s Western Conference clash between the host Sacramento Kings and the visiting Hornets from the Big Easy.
These two teams have met twice this season, but this will be their first at Arco as the other meetings took place in New Orleans. The first meeting was back on November 19 with Sacramento winning 105-96 as a 13½-point road underdog and going over the total of 197. The second game took place on December 20 with the host getting the win 99-90 as a 15½-point home favorite but falling below the posted total of 196½.
Oddsmakers have posted a total on tonight’s contest of 203 which is considerably higher than their two previous meetings this season and we believe this game will fall below that number.
New Orleans is 7-0 Under in road games versus teams averaging <=20 assists per game this season and 29-13 Under versus teams that are being outrebounded by opponents by 5 or more per game since 1996. The Hornets are 4-0 Under their last four as a road favorite of 5 to 10½ points and 8-2 Under their last 10 as a favorite of 5 to 10½. New Orleans is 19-8-1 Under after going Under in their last game, 16-5-1 Under as a favorite after going Under, and 11-3-1 Under as a conference favorite after going Under in their previous game.
Sacramento is 12-3 Under in home games versus teams that make six or more 3-point shots per game during the second half of the season the last two seasons, and 7-2 Under their last nine versus opponents from the Southwest Division.
Play Under on NBA home underdogs of 6 to 7½ points, 23-11 Under. Play Under on teams coming off a SU loss and now involved in a game with a line range of 6 to 7½ points, 82-53 Under.
With both teams struggling and solid technical support for the Under we will recommend a play on the Under in tonight’s contest.
Free Pick: Hornets-Kings Under 203 (-110)