5* graded play on the Sparks as they take on the Fever in WNBA action. The Fever have won two straight and are in second place in the East. The Sparks are riding a four game winning streak and are in second place in the Western Conference.

The Sparks have been stellar at home with a 9-1 record and just average on the road with a 5-5 record. Still, the matchups favor the Sparks to cover this number and possibly win the game

Betting Combinations

Whenever I have a dog that I believe can with the game, breaking up the wager amount into two parts consisting of the line and money line are attractive options. Currently, many shops are offering Los Angeles at +175 on the money line. So, consider using a 3.5 unit amount taking Los Angeles and the 4 ½ points and adding a 1.5 unit wager on the money line. I have found that these combination bets can add significant amounts to the bottom line profits over the course of the season.

Simulator Projections

The simulator shows a high probability that Los Angeles will lose this game by fewer than four points and has an excellent shot at winning the game as outlined above. There is a high probability - exceeding 90% - that the Sparks will score more than 78 points in this game. In past games, the Sparks are 143-65 ATS when they have scored 78 or more points in games played since 1997.

The Sparks are an uptempo style of WNBA team, and Indiana has not fared well against this type of opponent. The Fever are just 56-96 ATS in up-tempo games where they attempt 64 or more shots since 1997. Moreover, the Fever is just 19-37 ATS when they allow 78 to 82 points in a game since 1997; 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when they allow 78 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.

Supporting Systems

Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 23-4 for 85.2% winners since 2006. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a win against a division rival and is a good team winning between 60% to 75% of their games and now playing a team with a winning record after 15 or more games have been played in the regular season.

Here is a second system that has produced a 54-24 ATS mark for 69.2% winners since 1997. Play against any team after two or more consecutive OVER results and is a struggling defensive team allowing between 72 and 76 points per game and is now facing a very weak defensive team allowing 76 or more points per game after 15 or more regular season games have been completed.

Game Situations

The Sparks are a strong rebounding team and this will work to their advantage tonight. When a dog is looking to win a basketball game at any level, they must rebound the ball well, especially on the defensive end, and minimize second and third chance scoring opportunities. Indiana is just 53-78 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.

My Pick: Take the Los Angeles Sparks