Michigan & Purdue to go 'Under': NCAA Basketball Picks

By: | www.sbrforum.com
The No. 22 Michigan Wolverines have lost their last four road games, logging a spread record of 1-2-1 in that span. They now meet the Purdue Boilermakers, who have seen the ‘over’ cash at 3-0 in their first three home contests against Big Ten foes.

Sports betting odds opened with Purdue as a 4 ½-point favorite, with early NCAA Basketball betting action on the Boilermakers lifting the number to five. NCAA BAsketball odds makers first set the ‘total’ at 129, remaining unchanged after initial betting action was mixed. 

Wolverines edged out at Arkansas

Michigan WolverinesMichigan’s lastest road defeat came in Saturday’s 66-64 setback as a two-point underdog against the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Wolverines were lit up for 50 percent field shooting by Arkansas, including a 5-for-11 day beyond the arc. 

Wolverines forward Zack Novak notched team-highs of 17 points and eight rebounds, while logging one of his squad’s two steals. Novak’s mates Trey Burke and Stu Douglass united for 11 assists, with Burke adding one block. 

The contest’s combined 130 points dipped below the ‘total’ of 137 ½, bringing the ‘under’ to 5-0 in the Wolverines’ last five games. Michigan sank 6-of-7 free throws, while outrebounding the Razorbacks, 33-28. 

Boilermakers cooked in East Lansing

Purdue dropped to 0-3 ATS in its last three games with Saturday’s 83-58 defeat as a 7 ½-point road dog against the Michigan State Spartans. The Boilermakers were held to 29 percent field shooting, while allowing Michigan State to connect a sizable 60 percent. 

Purdue’s Lewis Jackson and John Hart were the sole members of their squad to reach double figures, finishing with 10 points each. Jackson added team-highs of six rebounds and four assists. 

The lopsided affair’s combined 141 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 134, lifting the ‘over’ to 6-1 in the Boilermakers’ last seven games. Purdue drained a sparse 3-of-20 buckets from beyond the arc, while hitting 19-of-24 at the foul line. 

Back the ‘under’ at Mackey Arena 

Tuesday’s tip is scheduled for 7 p.m. (ET), with ESPN providing the national television coverage.

I am adding the ‘under' to my NCAA Basketball picks, looking for a tight battle in West Lafayette. The ‘under’ is 4-0 in the last four meetings Purdue has hosted between these rivals, with both squads combining for 121.8 PPG in that stretch. 

Purdue has held foes at home to a stingy 55 PPG, with the loud confines of Mackey Arena making visitors connect from the floor at a meager 36.7 percent. The Boilermakers have mustered just 63.8 PPG in their last five contests, including a 67-62 home loss on Jan. 12 to Wisconsin.

Michigan has had a tough time finding the rims, notching 61.6 PPG in their last five battles. The Wolverines did not have it any easier last December against Purdue, held to 38.2 percent shooting in an 80-57 spanking. 

Purdue ranks last among the Big Ten’s 12 squads in foul shooting, hitting a meager 62.9 percent from the charity stripe. Look for the Boilermakers to make up for that gap with boards, averaging 34.8 RPG, en route to ‘under’ backers getting the money here.


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