Michigan vs. Indiana: NCAA Basketball Picks

By: | www.sbrforum.com
The No. 13 Michigan Wolverines have won seven straight games, with a 4-2 spread record in the span’s six ‘board’ battles. John Beilein’s squad travels for its first road contest in Big Ten Conference play with Thursday’s matchup against the No. 12 Indiana Hoosiers, who are 5-0 ATS in their first five ‘board’ affairs at Assembly Hall.

Sportsbooks opened Indiana as a 7.5 point favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 139.5. Early wagers on Michigan and the ‘over’ saw the numbers move at some NCAA basketball betting shops to seven and 140.5, respectively. 

Hoosiers upset No. 2 Ohio State 

Indiana ended December with Saturday’s 74-70 victory as a five-point home dog against the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Hoosiers shot 45.3 percent from the field, including 5-of-13 from three-point land. 

Indiana’s Victor Oladipo and Christian Watford grabbed six boards each, while uniting for 25 points. Oladipo added a team-high three steals en route to logging one of his squad’s four blocks. 

The contest’s combined 144 points jumped above the ‘total’ of 139.5, lifting the ‘over’ to 3-0 in the Hoosiers’ last three ‘board’ games. Indiana allowed the Buckeyes to hit 49 percent of their field buckets, while being outrebounded, 34-26. 

Wolverines hold off Minnesota 

Michigan BasketballMichigan’s latest victory came in Sunday’s 61-56 triumph while installed as a six-point home favorite against the Minnesota Golden Gophers. The Wolverines were held to 38.5 percent shooting from the floor, while sinking 15-of-23 free throws. 

Wolverines guard Trey Burke piled in a season-high 27 points, hitting 8-of-11 from the field. Burke’s mates Jordan Morgan and Evan Smotrycz united for 21 rebounds, leading Michigan to edge out the Golden Gophers in boards, 34-26. 

The tight affair’s combined 117 points dipped below the NCAA Basketball odds ‘total’ of 129, ending an 8-0 ‘over’ streak in the Wolverines prior eight ‘board’ duels. Michigan’s Stu Douglas logged the team’s sole nine points from the bench, draining 3-of-4 from beyond the arc. 

Back the ‘over’ between these rivals

Thursday’s matchup is scheduled for 9 p.m. (ET), with ESPN2 providing the national television coverage.

I am adding the 'Over' to my NCAA basketball picks tonight, agreeing with some of the early betting ‘steam.’ The ‘over’ is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these foes, while cashing at 4-0 in the last four battles Indiana has hosted. 

Three-point buckets should help the combined points in this contest leap upward with the Big 10 Conference’s top two shooters beyond the arc squaring off here. Michigan’s Evan Smotrycz and Indiana’s Jordan Hulls have hit triple’s at 54.5 and 54.4 percent, respectively. The duo is followed by Indiana’s Christian Watford, who ranks fourth with 50 percent of his shots from beyond the arc connecting. 

Michigan’s Trey Burke not only reached season-high scoring in his last game, but has also enters Thursday’s battle as one of the Big 10’s top three in assists (5 APG). Hoosiers forward Cody Zeller has had a notable freshman season, connecting field buckets at a conference-high of 64.3 percent.

Indiana has hit 73.3 percent of its free throws, ranking the Hoosiers third in the Big 10. Michigan may find itself fouling late, which should boost the points even more for ‘over’ backers.

The Wolverines have allowed 73.4 PPG in their last four games away from home, which could set up Burke and Co. in for a tough night after holding foes to 56.4 PPG in their five straight home games. Michigan was crushed by the Hoosiers last January at Assembly Hall, 80-61, with the Wolverines lit up for 67.4 percent shooting by Indiana.

My Pick: Take the Over


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