Number four seed Virginia takes on the surging Wolfpack in the quarter-finals and we have our NCAA basketball pick for the game ready. These two are set to go to battle at 2:25 this afternoon, with the Cavaliers favored by 2.5.

Following UNC/Maryland it'll be the Cavaliers versus the Wolfpack, with a spot in the ACC tournament semi-finals up for grabs. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:25 PM EST.

Virginia has been off since Sunday. They outlasted Maryland 75-72 to close out the regular season, but did fall short of covering (-4.5) the spread. Mike Scott dropped 35 points and added 11 boards in the win.

The Wolfpack may be a little more in sync after playing and performing well in the opening round yesterday. They topped Boston College 78-57 in what was a solid all-around performance.

Today's quarter-final matchup sees N.C. State as the minimal underdogs in the NCAA basketball odds. At time of writing Mark Gottfried's team was getting three points at most NCAA Basketball betting sites.

Who Reaches Last Four?

NC State vs. VirginiaWhat happened in the regular season showdown between these teams? The Cavaliers won by a point, with Lorenzo Brown missing a 3-pointer at the buzzer that would have won it for the Wolfpack. 

For Virginia, Mike Scott, as per usual, logged a team-high 18 points on 5-of-11 shooting. The Wolfpack got 11+ points from C.J. Leslie, C.J. Williams and Richard Howell. Howell was a force to be reckoned with, adding a season-high 18 rebounds in the narrow defeat.

One thing worth noting: N.C. State doubled up Virginia on the glass (40-20), thanks in large part to Howell, and barely lost despite hitting only 2-of-15 from three. 

What the Wolfpack lack defensively as compared to their upcoming opponents, they more than make up for on the boards: over their last five they're averaging more than 10 rebounds more per game than are the Cavaliers. 

Virginia has been terrific on the defensive side of things all season long, but they run into a N.C. State team that's averaging 46.6 percent shooting and 73.6 PPG over their previous five contests. 

The Cavaliers have covered the spread in six straight meetings with the Wolfpack. Regardless, I'm of the opinion that streak comes to an end today in Atlanta, Georgia. In a tournament that hasn't seen too many upsets (Clemson's opening round loss aside), I see what some may consider a surprising win in the cards for State.

Backing the Wolfpack 

With Assane Sene out due to suspension and Malcolm Brogdon done for the season after undergoing surgery, Virginia is down to only seven players. Plus, they're a little too reliant on Mike Scott's offensive production for my liking.

I also think the Wolfpack will simply want it more as there's more at stake for them. They're still on the bubble for a NCAA tournament berth, while the Cavaliers are already a lock to be included. Virginia isn't going to simply lay down by any means, but I really believe N.C. State, whose five starters all average in double figures, will go the extra mile here.

The Wolfpack have gone an amazing 10-3 ATS away from home this season and I'm betting on them adding another spread win to that tally today.

FREE NCAA Basketball Picks: N.C. State Wolfpack +3

TREND BREAKDOWN

Wolfpack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall

Cavaliers are 1-2-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall

UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings 

Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 head-to-head meetings