Are there any new trends over the last few weeks that we should be aware of before making our NCAA Basketball picks in the always exciting conference play of the Big 12?
The Big 12 has some quality teams this year, no doubt, but
chinks in their armor have been exposed in conference play. Let's see how the teams of the BIG 12 have been doing against the College Basketball Odds.
Kansas, at one time a Top 5 team, is actually 1-5 ATS in
their last 6 conference road games, indicating some serious overvaluation by the
market of Kansas.
The teams that have been covering in the Big 12 recently
have been the more mediocre teams, who are not getting enough credit on their
lines when matched up against other Big 12 powerhouses or doormats. Iowa St and
Texas have both been good bets in recent weeks, but to my eye, Texas is less
likely to continue their covering ways than Iowa St.
Speaking of doormats, there’s no denying that TCU and Texas
Tech are the dregs of the Big 12, but they have actually been quite different
in terms on ATS results this year.
TCU has been an absolute disaster against the spread this
year. They’ve been a double digits underdog in all of their last 8 Big 12
games, but they only managed to cover one of those huge spreads. The one cover
though, did happen to come in the game where they were the biggest underdog, when
they got their shocking outright win over Kansas. If you need a real-life
example of the adage “anything can happen” in college basketball, there’s your
game right there.
Texas Tech though, has shown to have some value in certain
situations. When lined as a double digit home underdog, they have had betting
value overall this season for our NCAAB picks.
I look into all of this and more in detail in my ATS update
for the Big 12 covering the games through February 12th.