The Florida Gators have been blowing out their opponents during their current 10-game win streak, but they’ll now travel to face a dangerous Arkansas Razorbacks’ team at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville.
Let’s take a closer look at betting lines for this SEC Basketball matchup as we try to determine where NCAAB bettors will find the best value.
Quite a run
Florida has won 10 consecutive games by a dominating
average of 25.0 points per game, which includes a 78-64 victory over the
Mississippi Rebels as 17.5-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER
the posted total of 134. The Gators are
12-5 against the spread (ATS) as a favorite this season, while they’ve managed
to cover the number in six of seven affairs away from Gainesville.
Dangerous at home
Arkansas improved its record to 13-1 when playing in
front of its own fans, as it captured a convincing 73-60 victory over the
Tennessee Volunteers as 6.5-point home favorites last Saturday. The Razorbacks are averaging 83.5 points per
game on their home floor, while allowing their opponents 65.7 on 41.6 percent
shooting. The program has been a home
underdog of 9.5 to 12 points just once since 1997.
ATS run in the series
The NCAA Basketball odds list Florida at -11.5, and bettors might find this tempting considering
that Florida has won and covered the spread in the last five meetings in this
series. Florida earned a 98-68 blowout
win as 5.5-point road favorites in last year’s matchup, which happens to be
Arkansas worst home loss since this building opened in 1993.
Stepping up versus ranked foes
The Razorbacks will need a monster game from Marshawn
Powell and BJ Young to even cover the spread against the Gators, but that duo
has demonstrated the ability to raise its level of play when facing a ranked
opponent. In nine career games, Young is
averaging 19.1 points in that situation, while Powell has averaged 14.8 in 14
overall games.
Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one
of their College Basketball picks tonight, as the Gators have gone UNDER the total in all
three of their road games in a range of 135 to 139.5, while six of the last
seven meetings in this series have fallen short of the number.
College Basketball Pick: Under 137