The San Diego State Aztecs are trying to advance to the Mountain West Conference title game for a fifth consecutive year, as they prepare to meet the New Mexico Lobos Friday night. Where does the best betting value lie?


Let’s take a closer look at the basketball betting odds for this high-profile affair, with the opening tip scheduled for 9 p.m. ET at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas on the CBS Sports Network.

Alternate world

San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, as it comes off a 73-67 victory over the Boise State Broncos as four-point favorites Wednesday night, while going OVER the posted total of 133.

The Aztecs are safely in the field of 68 for the upcoming 2013 NCAA Tournament according to ESPN’s Joe Lunardi, as they prepare to meet the regular season conference champions for a third time this year.

It wasn’t pretty

New Mexico came away with a 59-46 victory over Wyoming in the first round of this tournament despite not hitting a field goal for the opening 10:23 of the second half.  The Lobos are now 4-0 straight up (SU) and 2-2 against the spread (ATS) on a neutral floor during the 2012-13 campaign.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Lobos are 38-7 SU and 30-11 ATS when allowing 60 points or less, with the OVER going 18-15 in that situation.

Holding court

College basketball handicappers will find that the home team captured both regular-season meetings this year, while the UNDER cashed in each contest.  It’s still important to note that the favorite is on a 4-0 ATS run in this series.

Since the 2005-06 campaign, San Diego State has won 12 of 18 meetings, while 17 of the last 19 have been decided by 10 points or less.

Franklin vs. Williams

You’re going to have a hard time finding a better matchup than New Mexico’s Kendall Williams taking on San Diego State’s Jamaal Franklin Friday night, as both players recently landed on the conference’s first team.

Williams was named Mountain West Conference Player of the Year, while Franklin finished the regular season as the only individual to lead his team in points, rebounds, assists and steals.


Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Aztecs as one of their NCAA basketball picks, as they’ve gone 22-10-1 ATS versus teams that allow 64 points or less the last two-plus seasons, while the Lobos are 1-2 ATS with one or less days rest.

College Basketball Pick:  San Diego State Aztecs +1.5