San Diego State vs. Boise State NCAA basketball pick

By: | www.sbrforum.com

After seeing their 11-game winning streak snapped, San Diego State looks to get back in the win column when they host the Boise State Broncos tonight. Game time is set for 10:15 PM ET at Viejas Arena. 


The Aztecs opened in the NCAA basketball odds as 13 point favorites but the spread has since dropped to 12 with the total falling to 132.5.

The No. 17 Aztecs have won eight in a row and will be facing a struggling Broncos team that's winless on the road. San Diego State has gone 76 games without suffering consecutive defeats and Boise State would have to pull off a monumental upset to prevent that streak from continuing.

James RahonSan Diego State (18-3 SU, 11-7 ATS) turned in perhaps their worst performance of the season in a 77-60 loss to Colorado State on Saturday. The Aztecs shot a season-low 31.3 percent from the field including 3 of 21 from 3-point range and lost the battle of the boards 40-30.

The normally reliable Chase Tapley (16.1 ppg), went 3 of 17 from the field and scored just 10 points. Jamaal Franklin, who led SDSU with 24 points and 10 rebounds, leads the MWC in scoring in league games (17.2) and has reached double figures a career-high nine straight games

Tough at home

The Aztecs have outscored opponents by nearly 16 points per game at home and have given up an average of 55.5 during their eight straight wins there. San Diego State has gone 38 consecutive games without allowing a team to shoot 50 percent from the field and they’ve have held conference opponents to 37.7 percent.

Broncos bucking big odds

The Broncos (10-10 SU, 8-11 ATS) have struggled in their first season in the MWC, losing six in a row with the last five coming in league play.

The most recent defeat came by a score of 75-64 to Wyoming at home Saturday. Boise State allowed the Cowboys to shoot 65.8 percent. Leon Rice Joe Hanstad scored 13 points, Ryan Watkins added 12 and Tre' Nichols had 11 for the Broncos, who are 0-7 on the road. Anthony Drmic is Boise’s leading scorer and rebounder (12.6 ppg and 4.8 rpg).

The Broncos have experienced shooting woes all season but those troubles have been magnified in league play where they’re shooting a conference-worst 38.5 percent. However BSU is Boise State is 10-2 this year when scoring at least 70 points.

Stat Man

Despite Saturday's loss, San Diego State is 15-2 in its last 17 games and owns the nation's second highest winning percentage (52-5, 91.2 percent) since the beginning of the 2010-11 season.

SDSU is pretty much a lock to win when holding opponents to less than 60 points. The Aztecs extended their winning streak to 42 games when they limited Wyoming to 42 points. They’re also holding teams to 37.7 percent shooting in their first five MWC games en route to a 4-1 start.

The Aztecs have won 42 straight home games against teams not ranked in the coaches' poll. The Broncos are 5-29 all-time against ranked opponents, including 1-15 on the road.

Coaches

Leon Rice is in his second year at Boise State and has a record of 33-23

Steve Fisher, now in his 13th season on Montezuma Mesa, notched his 250th career victory at San Diego State with his team’s win at Wyoming.

Trends

Boise State is 0-7 SU on the road this season, 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games and 2-9 in its last 11 games overall.

Harvey’s Take: The Aztecs will roll tonight. Lay the 13 points and consider a smaller play on the ‘under’ in your NCAA basketball picks.

Good luck! 


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