Washington Huskies are favored by five points tonight by the NCAA basketball odds makers as they take on the Cougars in an intra-state rivalry in the PAC-10 Tournament.

Overall record 36-26-5 ATS for 58.0% ATS winners

NCAA basketball free pick on Washington as they host Washington State in PAC-10 conference tournament action set to start at 11:30 PM ET.

My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Washington Huskies will win this game by six or more points. Washington State Cougars come into this game off a 58-54 loss to UCLA and failed to cover as a three point dog. They have won two of the past three games with one of those wins a massacre of Washington 80-69 where they were massive 12 point dogs. Revenge is certainly a real factor for the Huskies.

Transgressions

Washington enters this game sluggishly losing three of their last five games and three straight to the spread. The Huskies are without Venoy Overton who was suspended for the PAC-10 tournament after providing alcohol to a minor, who was a 16-year old girl in Seattle. He is practicing with the team and if Washington would advance to the fourth game his availability for that game might be considered. However, Washington is so deep on the offensive end of the game that his presence will not be severely missed. He is averaging 29 minutes per game, 6.03 points per game, 2.6 rebounds per game, and 4.3 assists per game.

Rankings and Stats

Washington has the best scoring offense in the conference and rank second nationally averaging 84.0 points per game. They run a high powered fast paced style of offense ranking best in the nation in shot attempts at 64.45 attempts per game and best in the nation in shot attempts made averaging 30.5 made shots per game.

Washington State ranks third in conference and 57th nationally in scoring offense averaging 73.0 points per game and 70.3 points per game in road tilts. Washington has significant advantages in all aspects of the offensive part of this game.

 



Rebounding

Washington not only is a remarkable scoring machine they also rebound the ball extremely well. Washington ranks best in the PAC-10 and 11th nationally in total rebounding averaging 39.3 boards per game. Washington State is an average rebounding team ranking sixth in the conference and 19th nationally in total rebounding averaging 34.3 boards per game. There is no doubt that Washington will dominate the defensive glass and minimize Washington State’s second chance scoring opportunities. This will be a dominant factor in the game to watch unfold and will lead to Washington winning and covering this game easily.

Supporting System

Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 29-11 ATS for 73% winners since 2005. Play on neutral court teams revenging a same season loss vs opponent and is off an upset loss as a favorite. The simulator shows a very high probability that Washington will have 45 or more rebounds in this game. In past games where they have exceeded this level of rebounds they are 3-1 ATS this season and 14-4 ATS the past three seasons.

Take the Washington Huskies.