Xavier +3.5 vs. Vanderbilt: NCAA Basketball Picks

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Xavier sat 12th in both of last week's polls with Vanderbilt 18th in the AP and 22nd according to the coaches. These two teams tip-off tonight at Memorial Gym in Nashville shortly after 7:00 PM (ET) and ESPN2 will broadcast the clash between ranked schools from the Atlantic-10 and Southeastern Conference.

If you're looking for something to occupy your time and wagers leading up to conference championships that will be decided on the college gridiron this weekend, look no further than the NCAA basketball betting schedule. The slate is jam-packed with solid matchups, starting Monday when the Xavier Musketeers travel to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores.

 

Sportsbooks have installed Vanderbilt as a 3.5 point favorite with 141.5 the total set by NCAA basketball odds makers. 

Xavier Musketeers After three deep runs into the Big Dance from 2008-10, including an Elite 8 appearance in 2008, Xavier made an early exit this past March when the Musketeers fell to Marquette in the opening round. This might be Chris Mack's best team since he came on board to start the 2009-10 campaign, with a good mix of upperclassmen and a few promising freshmen.

They are a team that shoots well from all over the floor, including 3-point land (42.3%), but has a glaring weakness at the free-throw line (55.7%), and Xavier is a favorite to lead the Atlantic 10 this season.

Junior guard Mark Lyons is off to a fast start with a team-high 17.8 scoring average, reaching double figures in all four Xavier contests. Backcourt mate Tu Holloway, the team's leading scorer last season as a junior, is putting up 15 per night and combines with Lyons for 9.5 assists each game.

Senior Kenny Frease is the big man down low, clogging the lane with his 7-foot, 275-lb frame while scoring 10.3 PPG and posting a team-best 3.5 blocks per contest. Forward Travis Taylor, a junior, leads the team in rebounds (6.8) while freshman Dezmine Wells plays a 2-3 combo and 

Another one of Mack's seniors is Andre Walker, now a graduate student at Xavier after playing for Vanderbilt the past four seasons before receiving his undergraduate degree. He was granted a fifth year of eligibility due to missing the bulk of last season with injury and illness, and is seeking a masters in sports administration which is not a degree offered at Vandy. 

Walker, a 6-7 forward, is averaging a little over 26 minutes and nearly five points per game for the Musketeers. 

How much inside info Walker can relay to his new team about his former team is unclear, but one thing is clear for Xavier in this game: Stop John Jenkins. The junior guard is leading the Vanderbilt Commodores with a 20.2 mark in the scoring column and is coming off a 2010-11 season in which he led the SEC with 19.5 PPG. 

Jenkins missed the team's second game of the season with a slightly sprained ankle, but has returned to average 20 an outing in the three tilts since. The long-range bomber is shooting over 42% from beyond the arc, but has proven to be the only real threat for Vandy so far from that range.

John JenkinsThe matchup between shooting guards Holloway and Jenkins will definitely be one to watch, but keep an eye on swingmen Wells for XU and Vandy's Jeffrey Taylor. The 6-7 Taylor is second on the Commodores in scoring (15.0 PPG) and leads the team in assists (3.2) thanks to his multifaceted playmaking skills. Taylor is also a senior, and could be a tough matchup for young Wells or anyone else assigned to him. 

One player missing from the mix for head coach Kevin Stallings and the 'Dores is big senior Festus Ezeli, out since the start of the schedule with a bum right knee. Ezeli was to have missed the first six games due to a suspension for an NCAA violation, so this would have been the game the 6-11 Nigerian returned. He could be back around Christmas, and that will give Vanderbilt a whole new look.

Taking a Chance: Stallings brought an experienced Vanderbilt squad into this season ranked No. 7 in both polls and expecting to be a legitimate challenge to Kentucky un the SEC. But an early upset loss to Cleveland State as 14-point chalk has the Commodores playing from behind in the national rankings as well as trying to learn to play without Ezeli who was expected to be a big contributor. 

At home against a poor FT shooting team, Vandy straight up looks right. I'll stop short of calling for an outright upset, but will make Xavier plus the points my NCAA Basketball pick. Check back Tuesday when we take a look at the Duke-Ohio State matchup here at SBRforum.com.

My Pick: Xavier plus the points


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