The Broncos can clinch a second consecutive AFC West title with a win over the Buccaneers at Sports Authority Field. Check out our NFL picks play on the total.


Buccaneers will attempt to bounce back


Peyton ManningTampa Bay had its season-long four-game win streak snapped last week, suffering a 24-23 setback to the Atlanta Falcons as one-point home underdogs while going UNDER the total for the first time in eight contests. The Buccaneers have scored 22 or more points in their last eight games, which has led to winning the statistical battle in five of those eight affairs. The franchise is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five opportunities after a straight-up loss.

Broncos return to the Mile High City

Denver has won six games in a row, including a 17-9 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs as 10-point road favorites, but it’s important to note that it has failed to cover its last two games despite winning the statistical battle by a triple-digit margin in each of those contests. The Broncos are going to attract a lot of action when handicappers look at the pro football odds page, considering they can wrap up the division title with a win in this spot.  

Troubles in the secondary

The Buccaneers are going to have a hard time improving to 6-0 ATS on the road this season if they don't find a way to shore up their pass defense; they are giving up an NFL-worst 315.5 yards per game through the air. Tampa Bay will be playing with a makeshift unit after learning that cornerback Eric Wright was suspended four games by the NFL for violating the league’s policy on performance-enhancing drugs.  

Manning is primed for a big day

Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning can’t wait to get on the football field on Sunday afternoon. He's thrown for 26 touchdowns and compiled a 104.8 passer rating through 11 games. Denver is 4-0-1 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season, which fits nicely with the four-time NFL MVP going up against the league’s worst pass defense.  

Freeman delivers when getting points

Sports bettors shouldn’t be blinded by Manning’s wizardry when making their pro football predictions this week, considering that Sunday’s visitor has a capable signal-caller.  Tampa Bay’s Josh Freeman has compiled a money-making 17-6 ATS record as a road underdog in this career, which includes a perfect 6-0 ATS mark when getting 3.5 to 7 points away from Raymond James Stadium.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the OVER as one of their Week 13 NFL picks, as the Buccaneers have allowed 51 pass plays of at least 20 yards this season, which fits nicely with the Broncos having 48 such plays from their passing game.  Tampa Bay has also gone over the number in eight of its last 10 games following a home loss.

NFL Week 13 Pick: Over 50 at 5Dimes