The Bills and Patriots have historically played below the posted total, and that trend will continue when Buffalo and New England get this season's MNF schedule rolling tonight.
Monday Night Football kicks off with a doubleheader with the first matchup taking place in Foxboro with the New England Patriots hosting the Buffalo Bills.
Tom Brady makes his return after suffering a knee injury in the first game of the 2008 season. From all appearances he seems fine but there will be some rust even though he played sparingly in the preseason. The big news for the Bills in the offseason was the acquisition of WR Terrell Owens in an effort to improve the 22nd-ranked passing offense in the league.
This series has been dominated by the Under with 21 of 33 falling below the posted total since 1992, and 16 of the last 20. The Bills are 1-11 Under on the road when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season and 0-7 Under as a road dog versus a divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent. The Patriots are 3-13 Under as a home 7+ favorite versus a divisional opponent.
NFL teams are 1-14-1 Under on the road versus a divisional opponent before playing against a non-divisional opponent, 0-9-1 Under on the road versus a divisional opponent before playing at home against a non-divisional opponent and 0-9 Under as a favorite on grass versus a divisional opponent before playing on the road. NFL games with a total of 45.5 or more have posted a record of 4-18 O/U in the last 22.
With series history on our side along with solid technical support we will play this game to fall well below the posted total as the Bills and Patriots faceoff in a defensive duel.
Free Pick: Bills-Patriots Under 47½ (-110)