As we continue on the road to the NFL season, we are continuing to break down division odds for each team. Today we will focus on the AFC South, a division that wasn’t really a contest last season. Find out who we are backing this year.
The Houston Texans were running away with
the division before all their injuries, and even though the final standings
were close, it was all Houston. Will it be that way again? The sportsbooks sure
Houston Texans -500 AFC South,
+400 AFC, +1000 Super Bowl
the premier betting favorites for the 2012 NFL season is the Houston Texans.
They are almost a lock to make the playoffs, barring some more freak injuries
to their key players. As you can see from the odds to win their division, no
one is giving anyone else in the AFC South much of a chance.
South is probably the weakest division in football, because after the Texans,
everyone else is almost surely not a playoff team. The Texans on the other hand
are kind of a nice value pick to win the AFC. Of course they’ll probably run up
against the Patriots at some point, and the Ravens will surely have something
to say about it, but the Texans’ defense is stacked, and they have a better
offense than the Ravens. +400 could be nice value, but health remains the only
reason why I can’t endorse taking it at this time.
Tennessee Titans +350 AFC South,
+2500 AFC, +6000 Super Bowl
Titans come in second according to NFL odds makers within the AFC South, and
even though they have one of the best running backs in the league, they struggled
to run the ball last season. The Titans did go 9-7, but a bad 2-4 run in the
middle of the season found them on the outside looking in.
are a few questions surrounding this team, including the quarterback position.
However, they do have some nice pieces in pace. Chris Johnson should start
strong this season, and if Kenny Britt can come back from his injury and play
well, they have a chance at a wildcard slot. However, I’m not giving them much
of a chance to beat out the Texans for the division.
Indianapolis Colts +1000 AFC
South, +4500 AFC, +10,000 Super Bowl
2-14 season in 2011, and a closed chapter in franchise history, the Colts will
be trying to move on, and improve upon their two win season. The Colts are somewhat
surprisingly not in the bottom of the AFC South odds, but they are close. The
addition of Andrew Luck should add at least 2 wins to their total from last
season, but I don’t have that high of expectations for the rookie and the
Colts. Obviously Cam Newton had a great rookie season, and I don’t put it past
Luck, but I think he might struggle a bit.
Jacksonville Jaguars +1000 AFC
South, +7500 AFC, +20,000 Super Bowl
What can be said about this team?
They are flat out terrible. No team
has worse odds to win the Super Bowl in 2012, and they are going nowhere. They
swung and missed on Blaine Gabbert apparently, and besides Maurice Jones-Drew,
they have zero offense. They were dead last in the league last season in
passing yards, and MJD looks like he is holding out. If I were him, I would do
just that. Don’t risk injury on a team that will probably be the Colts of last
season. Make them pay you the big dollars if they want to risk your career for
a 2-win season.